Everyone makes New Year's Resolutions. I've no clue how many
actually follow them. However, I suggest this year's resolution
include a promise to yourself to review your personal and
financial goals, your portfolio, and to take the time to review
them with your financial professionals to make sure you're
on track to on track to accomplish them.
Of course, my clients are always welcome to come in for consultations
without additional charge. Prospective clients are always
welcome to come in for a free no-obligation initial consultation.
Best wishes for a happy, healthy, and prosperous 2005 to all!
Regards,
David
Can Late Mail Cost You
Money? - December 17, 2004
Ever get an important piece of financial mail that's not
on time? Late financial mail could end up being the cause
of tax, insurance, investment, and loan or credit rating problems.
Not getting your important financial mail on time could lead
to bills or tax payments being paid late, investment decisions
not being made on time, or other missed opportunities. These
are all potentially very expensive problems to face.
Here's the tip:
Keep the envelope you received that contained your letter
or financial information. If you are penalized for your mail
being late, you can prove that you were not given ample time.
The envelope's postmark will help you prove when it was mailed
and when you might have received it.
Year End Tax Savings
Ideas - December 10, 2004
What better day to consider saving income taxes on your 2004
return than December 10, 2004? Today marks the day your first
installment of your property taxes is due. It also makes for
a good day to make sure you leave no stone unturned when it
comes to saving income taxes for 2004. Here's a quick list
of a few things you might still be able to do:
1. Call your tax preparer to check for any last minute ideas
he or she may have for you.
2. Do any tax-loss selling you can to offset any potential
capital gains or to take advantage of the $3,000 of ordinary
income the IRS allows annually, or to potentially benefit
from both.
3. Pay any additional California State income tax you may
owe before the New Year. (In most cases, it will apply to
your 2004 federal tax return as a deduction).
4. If you didn't pay the second installment of your property
taxes today, you might consider paying by December 31st to
get the deduction on this year's return, instead of waiting
to use it on your 2005 return. After all, you'll be paying
it in on April 10, 2005 anyway. Why not get the deduction
now instead of in a year?
5. If you are self-employed, I suggest making any business
expenses that you can before year-end.
6. Keogh plans have to be established prior to year-end.
(This includes profit-sharing plans).
7. Charitable contributions need to be made prior to year
end.
8. If it makes sense, defer any income you can.
Consider how your actions will affect your taxes for 2004
versus 2005. Sometimes it's best to take or use tax benefits
in the upcoming year.
You've got three weeks left; make the most of it. Remember
to consult with the appropriate experts before you act on
these ideas.
Most of all, I wish you and your family a wonderful holiday
season.
Super Human Investment
Results - December 3, 2004
In the wake of the steroid problems in Major League Baseball,
I was considering the possibility that some investors and
investment companies believe you can get or provide super
human investment results. I've never been a believer of living
too close to the cutting edge (especially since living that
close to the edge can lead to bleeding... or falling off a
cliff).
When it comes to investments, many Americans focus on short-term
results or instant gratification; unfortunately, short term
results or instant gratification don't go part and parcel
with long-term investing (in fact, you might say that they
are generally polar opposites).
An example of this is what happened to many people in the
late 1990s through early 2000. People saw the markets rising
at a rate that was ever more rapid; as a result, many joined
the herd looking for instant wealth. The problem was that
the companies they invested in weren't growing at anywhere
near the rate their stocks were, which was a recipe for disaster.
On top of that, there were investment firms doing what's called
"momentum trading," which was (more or less) cutting-edge
investing for that environment. In my opinion, they were trading
the markets and speculating. That is not what I call
fundamental investing.
Note: For those of you who are clients of mine, I've used
The American Funds Group for so many years because I believe
that they have a system of managing money that is very
fundamental in style and execution.
Sometimes, when you live on the cutting edge, you can do
well and make lots of money; many times, you can bleed. I
prefer the more "fundamental" approach to life and
investing; it seems to be better paired with "long-term"
living and investing.
A Penny for Their Thoughts?-
November 24, 2004
What should you pay for mutual fund management? Is any fee
acceptable? Well, theoretically, you'd pay any price
for astronomical results. Since we all know that's just not
going to happen on a guaranteed basis, fees do matter
in the overall decision making process.
Annual operating expenses (the fees charged by mutual
fund money managers) are the most important fees you'll pay.
(In my opinion, it is not the most important thing
you look at when choosing a fund; that
should always be the management itself). I have always felt
that you are getting a fair deal if you are paying roughly
one-percent per year in annual operating expenses
or less; this is not, by any means, the average annual operating
cost of most mutual funds today.
The average annual cost of operating expenses in the mutual
fund industry is generally between one and two percent.
Given most people's expectations for lower returns in the
next few years, I would suggest that (once you find a great
money management firm) you try to stay at or under
the one percent level of annual operating expenses. (All of
my clients know that I use The American Funds Group so much
because we get terrific money management along with low annual
operating expenses).
Higher annual operating expenses can truly eat away at your
overall returns. On that note, I hope you enjoy eating your
Thanksgiving dinner.
Happy holidays to you all!
David
2004 Year-End Gifts -
November 19, 2004
You still have time to make your 2004 annual gift to a relative,
friend, or anyone else to reduce the size of your estate for
estate planning purposes.
The current annual gifting limit is $11,000 per year, per
person; therefore, a husband and wife could gift a combined
$22,000to an individual without gift-tax
consequences. Gifts are not deductible to those making them;
neither are they taxable as income to those receiving them.
You have until December 31, 2004 to make your gift,
which can be in the form of cash, securities, real estate,
or other items of value. Each type of asset gifted has
differing tax consequences to the person who receives the
gift. (Cash is generally the easiest and cleanest gift
to make in terms of taxes, but it may not be the best gift
to make in terms of estate planning). The giftsare
not income to the person receiving them; however, the
earnings over time from the gift are taxable
to the person receiving the gifts.
As time is running out on gifting for 2004, I would suggest
you make your plans now before it's too late; often, it's
difficult to make a gift at the last minute. I also suggest
that you consult your tax advisor and estate planning attorney
before making any 2004 gifts.
Guardianships - November
12, 2004
Are the guardians named in your wills current?
One of the most simple but memorable things my father used
to say is that, "Time sure flies." When parents
do their estate plans, they should be reminded that this isn't
a one time action. Over time, life and people change.
If you still have dependent minor children, I suggest you
take a few minutes to think about who would be acting as their
guardians should you pass on. Sometimes, the guardians you
originally named in your estate plan are no longer appropriate
today; they may no longer have the desire to serve as guardian,
or perhaps they have moved or have become ill.
Do yourself and your children a favor: Take
a few minutes to make sure the guardians named in your wills
are right for today. It is an exercise you won't regret; neither
will your children.
Without Uncertainty,
Financial Markets Perform to Form -
November 5, 2004
Anyone notice how well the stock markets did this week? They
did so well that they had their best week in nineteen months.
Here are four reasons why I believe this to be true:
1. Terrific jobs report today. The economy produced
over 337,000 jobs. This is roughly twice what economists were
expecting.
2. The price of oil seems to have stabilized under $50
per barrel.
3. The election is over. The stock markets don't like
uncertainty. In this case, it seems clear to me that it was
more important to the markets to get the election behind us
than anything else in this regard.
4. Terrorist Attacks. While there is still a threat
of an attack, we did make it through both party's political
conventions, the summer Olympics and the election, without
incident.
While no one can predict the future, it's clear that the
"unclear" is something the world's financial markets
do not accept too well. With most of the above issues behind
us, I look for a better environment for the financial markets
to perform.
Mutual Fund Basics -
Understanding Operating Expenses -
October 29, 2004
Many people hear all kinds of things about mutual fund expenses.
I think it is important to know the expenses you pay for your
fund; however, it's not the most important issue involved
in making a mutual fund investment decision: how your money
is managed is by far more important than the expense ratio
you pay.
Simply put, a mutual fund expense ratio is what you
are charged annually by the mutual fund company to manage
and administer your investment money. These expenses generally
include:
· Money management fees
· Administrative fees, such
as accounting and printing
· Distribution fees generally,
these can range from a reasonable .25% (1/4 of one percent)
to .75% (3/4 of one percent).
These fees, when combined, give us what generally makes up
a mutual fund's total annual operating expenses.
Generally speaking, most mutual funds have annual operating
expenses of one-percent to two-percent per year. In my opinion,
if you can stay under one percent, and combine that with solid
fundament management, you have something.
Understanding Your Auto
Insurance Policy - October 22,
2004
(This is part three in a short series of tips that will
cover the basics of auto insurance.)
As we all know, California requires us all to carry automobile
insurance. Good financial common sense requires it too. There's
no point in working all your life only to see it all disappear
in a law suit.
Comprehensive coverage: This covers your car
if it is damaged while it is parked. In other words, your
car is not involved in a moving incident. This can include
everything from a tree falling on your car to a ball from
a park hitting it.
Collision: This coverage takes car of your
car if it's involved in a moving incident.
Sometimes owners of older vehicles will drop collision and
comprehensive coverage because their cars are not worth repairing.
It also will reduce the cost of the insurance on the vehicle.
If you don't belong to AAA, I have found it's a good idea
to pick up towing coverage. I've also benefited from having
rental car coverage in case my car is in the shop and I am
without transportation for any length of time. Finally make
sure you know if you have coverage on a rental car itself
in case you are on a trip, or using one while your car is
being repaired, and you have an accident. Generally, it's
a lot cheaper than paying the rental agency's insurance rates.
Shop around for your coverage. It can save you lots of time.
Keep in mind that it's important to know the financial strength
of the insurance company and its claims paying record. Some
companies can be cheaper than others. However, you might end
up getting exactly what you pay for.
Keep in mind that with all insurance coverage you want to
minimally cover your net worth. Some attorneys will advise
that you cover what your net worth might be three years out
as that's how long it might take to settle or litigate a case.
Some people combine their homeowners and auto policies with
a umbrella liability policy to protect themselves.
Fall and Winter Homeowner's
Protection - October 15, 2004
Asset protection comes in many sizes, shapes, and forms.
With fall here and winter around the corner, here are a few
thoughts about protecting your home:
· Check your drains for clogs
by running water through them.
· Check your roof for leaks.
· Clear debris away from the
pathways where water runs through your property so it doesn't
dam up during heavy storms.
· Clear debris and braches away
from your roof. In heavy weather or winds, it can clog drains
or actually damage the roof by falling on it or rubbing against
it.
· Have your chimney inspected
for dangerous deposits that could cause blockage of smoke
leaving the house or even a chimney fire.
· Make sure your heater has a
safety inspection and that its air filters are clean.
· Since real estate has had such
an unusually strong run, I suggest you go over your policy
with your agent to make sure it still covers the current value
of your home and the costs of potential repairs or replacement.
Here's a money saving tip: Reduce the length of the time you
water your garden. As the days shorten and the temperatures
decline, you'll need to water your garden and lawn less.
Understanding Your Auto
Insurance Policy - October 8, 2004
(This is part two in a short series of tips that will
cover the basics of auto insurance.)
As we all know, California requires us all to carry automobile
insurance. Good financial common sense requires it too. There's
no point in working all your life only to see it all disappear
in a law suit.
Keep in mind that with all insurance coverage you want to
minimally cover your net worth. Some attorneys will advise
that you cover what your net worth might be three years out
as that's how long it might take to settle or litigate a case.
Some people combine their homeowners and auto policies with
a umbrella liability policy to protect themselves.
Medical Coverage: Pays for medical treatment
for you and your passengers if you are in an automobile accident.
This medical insurance coverage is not meant to be your primary
medical coverage. More so, it will supplement your primary
everyday medical coverage. Generally, people who do not have
any medical coverage may choose to carry high limits on this
coverage. If not, most people will carry minimal amounts of
automobile medical coverage.
Uninsured Motorist: Pays for your damages,
medical expenses, and lost wages in the event that you are
hit by a motorist who is not carrying any insurance coverage.
You are not required to carry Uninsured motorist coverage
in California. Before you turn it down, I suggest you make
sure you have adequate coverage through your auto, medical,
and disability policies.
Part three of this series in two weeks.
Understanding Your Auto
Insurance Policy - October 1, 2004
(This is part one in a short series of tips that will
cover the basics of auto insurance.)
As we all know, California requires us all to carry automobile
insurance. Good financial common sense requires it, too. There's
no point in working all your life only to see it all disappear
in a law suit.
Keep in mind that, with all insurance coverage, you want
to minimally cover your net worth. Some attorneys will advise
that you cover what your net worth might be three years out,
as that's how long it might take to settle or litigate a case.
Some people combine their homeowners and auto policies with
an umbrella liability policy to protect themselves.
Bodily injury-liability coverage (Required by California
law): This coverage pays for the damage you might
do to others, if the accident you're in is your fault. The
minimum coverage in California is $15,000 for individuals
and $30,000 per accident. If your net worth is substantially
higher, this coverage will not do the trick. You should consult
your insurance agent or financial
planner as to a more appropriate amount of coverage.
Property damage coverage: This coverage protects
pays for the damage you might do to someone else's car or
property when the accident is your fault. It will pay to repair
or replace it. Again, the minimum required by California law
is only $5,000. Most people need much higher coverage. Imagine
hitting a brand new Bentley or Austin Martin costing $200,0000
or more, $5,000 won't replace the cooling system in a car
like that or even repaint it.
Part two next week.
Check the Details Before
You Sign on the Dotted Line- September 24, 2004
Recently a contractor who we hired to replace a door at our
home made an error that cost him over $3,000. What happened?
How could he have avoided this?
We hired him to replace an old sliding glass door with an
upgraded more energy efficient door. His job was pretty simple.
He had to measure the door, order it, and install it.
After measuring the door, he got a quote. We discussed the
details giving him the go ahead to order it. The mistake came
when he did not take the time to review the order he signed.
The door company somehow put the wrong size door on the order
that our contractor signed. This was a special order door.
When it arrived it was immediately clear it wouldn't work.
The door company said, "you signed for it, we won't take
it back." My contractor had agreed to this door and had
one chance to correct the mistake. It was before he signed
the paperwork and turned it in to the dealer. He was stuck.
Too many times in life we are rushed or too busy to review
contracts we sign. In doing so, we put ourselves at undue
risk. I suggest you always take the little bit of extra time
to discuss questions and review the details. While he spent
an extra $3,000 on a door he can only hope to use one day,
it may still be a lesson that keeps him from making a much
larger mistake in the future.
Making a Counter Offer
- September 17, 2004
Counter offers are short because you use them to fine-tune
the terms and conditions of offers you get from prospective
buyers. If an offer contains unreasonable contingencies, use
a counter offer to propose that the buyer remove them.
For example, paragraph 1 of your counter offer may say, "Buyers
hereby agree to delete paragraph 40 of their purchase contract
regarding Aunt Jane, the astronaut, inspecting the house when
she returns from her trip to the moon." After all, who
knows how long her mission may be delayed in space? What if
Aunt Jane falls in love with the man in the moon and never
returns? That contingency is too spacey.
Or suppose that the buyers offer $175,000 for your house
and want you to close escrow 30 days after accepting their
offer. Because you're asking $189,500, you think that their
offering price is a smidge low. Furthermore, you need six
weeks to relocate.
If everything else in the buyers' offer is fine with you,
don't rewrite the entire offer. Instead, give the buyers a
counter offer stating that you'll accept all their terms and
conditions except that you want $185,000 for your house,
and you need six weeks after the offer is accepted to close
escrow.
Wham. The ball's back in the buyers' court. They review your
counter offer and decide a six-week close of escrow is okay,
but they won't pay more than $182,500. They zap you a counter
counter offer to that effect. You sign it to ratify the
offer.
This week's tip is an excerpt from "House Selling
For Dummies" by Ray Brown.
Make the Roof Over Your
Head Better for Only $100 - September 10, 2004
A client and I were discussing his getting a new roof. It
reminded me of when we last had one put on our house.
My father-in-law, Bud, asked what pound felt or tar paper
we were putting on with the new roof; I replied, 15
pound. He suggested that, by increasing that to 30
pounds, we would have a lot more protection against the elements.
His reasoning was that the felt or tar paper is the real
protection when it comes to roofing; the shingles come second.
The cost to increase the weight of the felt paper to 30 pound
was something in the order of $100 more. It was a small fraction
of the whole roofing job.
Keep this simple tip in the back of your mind, as it may
save you many hundreds of dollars in repairs years
from now.
Disability Insurance,
Anyone? - September 3, 2004
The greatest asset most Americans will ever have is their
ability to earn a living. Using the income created by their
abilities, Americans pay for day-to-day living, put their
children through school, and invest for their short-, intermediate-
and long-term needs.
If a person averaged $45,000 per year over a 45-year career,
they would earn a total of $2,025,000. That is a
lot of money. Earning potential of this kind needs protection,
and the best way to do that is to buy disability insurance.
Disability insurance is a type of health insurance
that provides periodic payments when the insured is unable
to work, due to illness or injury, as verified by a medical
doctor.
Simply put, many Americans do not have any disability
insurance - or very little. Is it really worth risking everything
you could earn over your lifetime in order to
save a few insurance premium dollars?
You protect your car, home and health with insurance. There
is no reason in the world not to protect your lifetime-income
earning potential, as well.
Collectibles as Investments
- August 27, 2004
My wife and I have a habit of buying fun stuff while relaxed
and away on vacation. Often, this can include picking up a
piece of art or a collectible for our home or the office.
Of all the collectibles experts I've interviewed over the
years on my radio show, there is one theme that stands common
among them: buying art and other collectibles is about
having fun. They are things you should want to have
in your home.
If you buy them as investments, you take the chance of not
being successful. Art and collectibles lack an efficient market
for buying and selling. They are also non-essential items
that can be out of favor in difficult economic times.
Finally, unless you buy the really high end items, you take
a greater risk of having something people might not want years
down the road. There are many examples of this throughout
time.
The bottom line is to collect for fun above anything else.
If you happen to get lucky and someday make money on it, more
power to you. Good luck, and good collecting!
The Importance of Dividends
- August 20, 2004
Historically, common stocks have averaged a total return
(appreciation and dividends combined) of roughly ten percent
per year. Of that total return, dividends have
always represented an important part.
During the last ten years, investors have gotten away from
dividend-paying common stocks to more aggressive types of
stock. If we see lower rates of appreciation over the next
few years, dividends will again play an important role in
total return, as part of a balanced, diversified portfolio.
Is Now the Time to Invest?
- August 13, 2004
The Federal Reserve Board raised short term interest rates
this week by one-quarter of one percent. This is the second
consecutive increase in as many months. It's right on track
with what economists and investment professionals were expecting
off the forty five year lows we've seen the past year or so.
This continues to indicate that they feel there's more risk
of increased inflation than a slowing of the economy. I agree.
Corporate profits are still trending upward nicely. Employment
is still improving. Yet, the financial markets continue to
struggle or move around without clear direction. As we've
discussed, the economy, and the markets, do not cooperate
by moving in a nice straight line upward.
I've always said, "buy when the market is down five
percent or more." To date, the Dow 30 Industrials is
down 8.75% from its 52 week high. The NASDAQ is off over 18%
from its 52 high.
These are buying areas to me. If you have some money you
can add to your account(s), it may be a good time to do so.
Uncertainty
- The Markets Don't Like That - August 6, 2004
Well, we've got a bit of uncertainty these days. Don't we?
Two clichés come to mind when thinking of uncertainty.
"The markets climb a wall of uncertainty." And,
"the markets don't like uncertainties." How's that
for contradictions in thinking? It's the very reason to not
follow short term news and try to time the market. These things
come and go. All you have to do is study all the problems
the world has faced over to years to realize that this is
true. In the end, good companies grow their businesses, which
generally result in the increased value of these companies.
Let's look at a couple of the uncertainties we're facing
right now:
Terrorism: The fear of an attack is on people's minds. This
is especially true given the recent increase in the terror
alert. These fears should subside some when the Republican
convention is over, and the Olympics are completed. Keep in
mind these two events are over in a month.
Oil: The price of oil is the highest it's ever been. This
reflects growth in the world (a valid reflection), the problems
the Russians are having with their largest oil company Yukos,
(in my opinion, a short term problem), and disruptions in
the oil supply. My thinking is that these issues should resolve
themselves and the price of oil should come down.
While all this is going on, the economy continues to grow
with corporate profits increasing. It's interesting to note
that while these positive results are being announced the
market is struggling. (Studies have shown that the markets
can be more volatile during an election year).
As always, watch the long term economic news while staying
with your financial plan.
Got
One of Those Terrific 5% or 6% Home Mortgages? - July 30,
2004
Got One of Those Terrific Five or Six Percent Home Mortgages?
Thinking about paying it off early? I suggest you consider
not doing so. Here are a few reasons to consider an alternative:
1. For most people, your mortgage interest payments are deductible.
By the time you get your tax benefits, the real cost of your
mortgage might be between 3% - 5%. That's my definition of
cheap money.
2. Why not take the money you were going to use to pay down
the loan on your home and invest it in your Traditional IRA,
Roth IRA, SEP, 401k, 403b, or any other retirement plan? All
but the Roth are deductible. If you follow the Roth IRA rules,
the distributions you take from it are tax free.
3. Not matter where you put that money you would have used
as principal, if it makes as much or more than the interest
being charged on your loan, you're likely keeping it liquid
and available.
4. Money used to pay off a home loan is locked up in the real
estate. If you want access to it, you have to re-borrow it,
sell the property, or do a reverse mortgage.
The real reason to pay off a home loan early is that you don't
feel comfortable owing the money, you simply don't want any
debt, or you aren't disciplined enough to invest it in another
vehicle. Other than that, the loans many people got in the
past two years were the best seen in decades. Why give up
that money too quickly?
How
the Dow Jones 30 Industrials Average Works - July 23, 2004
Like its name, the Dow Jones 30 Industrials is made up of
thirty of the best-known American stocks. It's considered
the grandfather of all the market indexes. As closely watched
as the Dow 30 might be, few understand how it's calculated.
The Dow is not the sum of the prices of all 30 stocks in
the index. Instead, each stock's contribution is weighted
by its per-share price. That means that a smaller company
can move the Dow more than a bigger company, if the smaller
firm has few outstanding shares and a high per share price.
In example: Company A is six times bigger than company B,
and more than seven times as profitable. But, the share price
of company B is twice as much as company A. Company B will
have twice the points in the Dow as company A.
It always helps to understand how these indexes work so you
can have a better perspective when watching them and investing.
Quarterly
Financial Market Snapshot Review - July 16, 2004
It is time for me to pronounce that the Bear Market of 2000
- 2002 is over. I believe we've been in a new bull market
since October 2002. Here's a very quick view of what I think
is going on now:
1. The economy continues to improve. This is evidenced in
many ways. The most recent signs are the continued improvement
in employment numbers. The one-quarter percent increase in
the Fed Funds is another sign of growth. They are now focusing
on keeping inflation in check.
2. The bond markets are in a tougher position. Rates are rising,
making current bond holders vulnerable to loss of value. Minimally,
the slow increases in interest rates we are likely to see
should preclude any real increases in the value of bonds.
Bond funds can be a way to buy a laddered bond portfolio.
This should help you as a bond investor.
3. In my opinion, the stock markets are resting after the
large recovery rally of 2003. The important thing now is what
corporate earnings do. This signals a trend towards more normal
investment patterns. The caveat here is that, if there are
extraordinary events in the economy or world, the markets
are likely to react (which has always been the case). I expect
that after a period of resting, we'll see prices react favorably
to improved economic reports and corporate earnings. I do
not expect results as strong as we saw in 2003.
Keep in mind that these are my opinions of what I see happening;
they are certainly not a guarantee or a prediction, and they
reflect the long-term trend which I believe I see. Please
call if you have any questions.
The
Fed Finally Pulls the Trigger - July 2, 2004
Why waste weeks or even months of your valuable time looking
at a property you might want to purchase only to belatedly
discover that no lending institution other than the Mafia
will give you a loan? Instead of rashly rushing out to gawk
at property, smart folks start the home buying process by
determining whether or not lenders consider them to be creditworthy
borrowers.
Getting prequalified for a mortgage isn't tough. Heck even
bankrupt arsonists can get themselves prequalified. And therein
lies the problem.
Loan prequalification is nothing more than a perfunctory
perusal of your finances. In terms of overall effectiveness,
it ranks with attempting to raise the water level of the Pacific
Ocean by spitting in it (please don't try this at home).
Loan preapproval, conversely, is extremely thorough. With
your permission, a lender will independently verify financial
facts such as your income and expenses, your assets and liabilities,
the amount of cash you have for a down payment, and your credit
history. Given that you pass the lender's inspection, you'll
get a letter stating that you've been preapproved for a mortgage
- the next best thing to having a credit line at your disposal.
You'll know how much you can borrow.
You'll also have a delightful advantage over buyers who haven't
been preapproved for a loan should you find yourself in a
multiple-offer situation. Because those other people never
bothered to authenticate their credit-worthiness, the sellers
don't know if they're serious buyers or just tire kickers.
You, on the other hand, have written verification that you're
a financially qualified buyer. As a result, your offer will
be given the attention and respect it so richly deserves.
This week's tip is an excerpt from "Mortgages
For Dummies" by Ray Brown. Ray will be my guest on
my SmartMoneyTalks.com radio show on Saturday, July
17th at 10:05am on KXTY 99.7 FM.
The
Fed Finally Pulls the Trigger - July 2, 2004
After four years of static Fed Funds rates, the Federal Reserve
Bank finally increased interest rates. This is about as much
a surprise as Barry Bonds, the San Francisco Giants legendary
left fielder, getting an intentional walk. In fact, you can
probably expect the Federal Reserve Bank to increase interest
rates more in the coming months.
As I wrote recently, this merely reflects a growing economy.
You can't have super discounted interest rates forever; they
were only that low to inject some life in the economy. Now
that the economy is on the rise, you can expect the Federal
Reserve Bank to continue its focus on keeping inflation low;
hence, more increases in interest rates.
Here are a few things that will most likely change as a result
of rising interest rates:
1. Adjustable rate mortgages (ARM)
2. Interest paid on money-market accounts
3. Interest paid on certificates of deposit
4. Any consumer loan with adjustable rates
5. Interest rates on homeowner's home equity loans
Keep your eyes and ears out for these increases and be aware
of how they may affect you; for example, if you've got an
ARM, you might want to try to lock into a fixed rate 15- or
30-year mortgage while interest rates on mortgages are so
low.
The plus side to all this is an improving economy, more jobs,
better consumer confidence, and improved corporate earnings.
Saving
Family Heirlooms- June 25, 2004
Having lost my mother, and last parent, I know how difficult
settling an estate can be for remaining family members. It's
tough enough to handle the emotional losses when a parent
dies; settling their estate, on top of that, can be quite
a load to handle.
People spend a lifetime putting together a home, raising a
family, and helping with their grandchildren. During an entire
lifetime, you'll accumulate many things that will have to
be sorted out at the worst possible time (that is, after you
are gone).
Here's an idea which I believe makes settling the estate of
your loved ones that much easier:
My mother moved to a couple of different senior communities
prior to her death. Each time she moved, we all went through
the family belongings and decided what we wanted to keep and
what could go. The end result was that many family treasures
were saved, it was a fun process for everyone, and it made
my mother feel good to see us get these items while she was
still alive.
When she passed on, we did not have to deal with the very
difficult task of undoing my parents' lives, in an empty home,
without my mother or father there.
The process of settling my parents' estate has been much
easier as a result of this early work; it was easy to do,
enjoyable to participate in, and gratifying for my mother,
knowing that her valuables were in good hands and would be
cared for after her passing.
Do
You Know What It Costs To Build A House Around Here?- June
18, 2004
I'm meeting with my property and casualty insurance agent
today to review and discuss my current coverage. The reason
for the meeting is primarily because the cost to build, or
rebuild, a home today is so much higher than it was when I
first moved here in 1977.
Back in 1977, the cost to build an average quality home was
usually around $60 per square-foot, and the cost to build
a custom home was around $100 per square-foot; today, you
might spend more than $100 per square-foot to build an average
quality home, while custom homes can run upwards of $200 to
$250 per square-foot.
Many homeowners' property casualty insurance coverage has
not been changed in years, which may leave them without enough
coverage to pay any claim needed to rebuild part or all of
their home or investment property.
A 2,000 square-foot custom home might cost $500,000 just to
rebuild; the same home, using average construction, might
cost $200,000 to rebuild. If your coverage is not adequate
to meet these potential costs, the fees might end up coming
out of your pocket.
I suggest that you call you me or your property casualty insurance
agent today to set up an appointment to review you insurance
coverage. It could be the most valuable sixty minutes you've
spent in a while.
Want
a Quick Way to Add Money to Your Retirement Plan? - June 4,
2004
If you just refinanced your home to lower your monthly mortgage
payment, why not take those dollars you are saving and put
them into your retirement account pre-tax?
You could use these extra dollars you're saving on the mortgage
payments to maximize your IRA contributions. An additional
$83.33 per month would increase your contribution by $1,000
annually.
Before you end up spending the money you've saved when you
refinanced your mortgage, put it in your IRA or retirement
plan. Pay yourself first!
Jobs
& the Market - May 28, 2004
A while back, I wrote in this column about the "Unemployment
ABC's". We reviewed the idea that the economy may be
doing better than many people thought or were reporting on
a daily basis. I noted that one trend being observed was an
increase in the use of temporary workers, which is typically
a precursor to more new jobs being created.
Today, there was a report about 308,000 new non-farm jobs
being created. This was reported as the largest increase in
employment in four years; additionally, the figures for new
jobs for both January and February were revised upward to
159,000 and 46,000, respectively.
This bodes very well for the job market. It was reflected
in the stock markets as well, with stocks going up across
the board, while interest rates and gold lost ground.
The economy continues to look solid. The next news of importance
(which should verify these trends) will be the next round
of quarterly corporate earnings, which is due out soon.
Teaser
Rates - May 21, 2004
This week's tip is a continuation of mortgage information,
reprinted from "Home Buying for Dummies"
by kind permission of our frequent radio guest, Ray Brown.
Teaser rate: Otherwise known as the initial interest
rate, the teaser rate is the attractively low interest
rate that most adjustable-rate mortgages start with.
Don't be sucked into a mortgage because it has a low teaser
rate. Look at the mortgage's formula (index + margin =
interest rate) for a more reliable method of estimating
the loan's future interest rate - the interest rate that will
apply after the loan is "fully-indexed."
Settling
Someone's Estate - May 14, 2004
Settling someone's estate is an enormous amount of work.
There are so many components to it that I couldn't possibly
deal with more than one topic in today's writing.
When settling an estate, you'll need to assemble the value
of the estate as of the date of death, which is sometimes
no easy task. Clearly, the more organized the person was during
their lifetime, the easier it will be to settle their estate.
One of the things you'll need to do is to get the value
of the real estate.
Most attorneys, financial planners and/or accountants would
advise you against using a set of comparable valuations (commonly
called "comps") provided by a real estate agent;
the reason for this is that they do not tend to hold up well
in an IRS audit of the estate's return.
Most professionals would suggest that you get a valuation
provided by a certified appraiser. You will have to
pay for those appraisals, just as you do when you finance
or refinance a property; however, they do tend to hold their
own better in an IRS challenge.
There are different types of appraisers, and different types
of expertise within them: some will specialize in residential
properties, while others may focus on commercial or business
properties; you may also find that there are specialists in
multi-unit residential properties. Here again, it's important
to choose the right person.
(We'll discuss further aspects of settling an estate in
a future Weekly Tip.)
Owning
Bonds With Rising Interest Rates - May 7, 2004
Interest rates appear to be truly headed up. What does this
mean for investors who own bonds?
Bonds typically dont do well with rising interest rates;
therefore, you probably dont want to own bonds with
maturities which are considered to be long (that technically
means maturing in 10 years or more). The theory is: the longer
the maturity, the more the bonds will fluctuate.
One way to own bonds in a rising interest rate environment
is to buy a bond mutual fund. By their very nature, mutual
funds will have a diversified portfolio; therefore, youll
have many different bonds each with a different maturity.
This can be called a form of laddering, where
the portfolio has bonds that mature over different periods
of time (i.e. one year, two years, three years, etc.)
There is also something you can check on in a mutual fund,
which is called the funds average maturity
or average duration. Typically, the shorter the
duration of a bond fund, the less the fluctuation in the value
of the shares. In my opinion, youd want to see most
of your funds with average maturities (or average durations)
of between 2 years and six years.
After twenty years of declining interest rates, this new rise
could be sustained. Its important to understand how
your bonds are invested. Thats the best way to understand
their value.
American
Funds Are America's Hottest Funds - April 30, 2004
It took American investors over 70 years to learn what Ive
believed for almost twenty. For nearly 20 years, I have felt
that The American Funds Group is one of the best managed mutual
fund groups in the United States. Ive used them almost
exclusively for my clients since the mid-1980s because of
their huge global research effort and their system of money
management. (Ill go into more detail on this at another
time.)
During 2003, the American Funds Group took in more new investment
dollars than any other mutual fund group in the nation. I
believe it is due to the reasons Ive listed above and
the fact that their fundamental management style did well
in a tough bear market. As a result, they were called Americas
Hottest Funds in the May issue of Money
magazine.
If you know American Funds, youll know they dont
really want to be the hottest mutual fund group in
the country. They dont want hot money investors who
jump from one hot group to the next without much thought;
thats not what they are about. They want stable long-term
investors who believe in a money management system that is
designed to take years to produce results (after all, thats
what investing is about). They believe in doing whats
best for their investors, not themselves.
All of these reasons are why you dont see American
Funds advertise, seek media interviews, or promote hot funds
or hot sectors. All of these ideas are great in the short-term
but generally not terribly profitable in the long-term. In
the end, isnt it all about investing for the long-term
as a method of meeting your financial goals?
As ironic as it might seem, it can be great not to
be hot. American Funds would most likely fully agree with
this.
What
Goes Down Must Come Up - April 23, 2004
The brouhaha in the financial markets this week was all about
Alan Greenspan's testimony on the economy and interest rates.
Investors were nervous when they first heard that rates may
be going up. They then calmed as the week progressed as they
focused again on the economy and improvements in corporate
profits.
Interest rates have been hovering around 45 year lows for
many months. Is there any reason to think they'd stay that
low indefinitely? The obvious answer is absolutely not. The
fact that short term interest rates may be increased reasonably
soon is a sign of a healthier economy. It's not necessarily
a bad sign.
Nearly everyone I interview on my radio show, Smart Money
Talks.com, talks about the global economy growing. There's
pricing pressure on commodities in many areas. In example,
the price of steel is expected to more than double this year
because China is growing at such a strong clip - an estimated
8%. We all know what the price of gasoline is doing. Combining
this with better job growth, we have signals for the need
to be more aware of potential increases in inflation. In fact,
Greenspan stated that he felt the threat of deflation was
past us and no longer an worry.
The moral of this story, as always, is to stay focused on
the longer term trends and not get swept up in short term
news. Here the long term trend is a growing global economy
which is contributing to growing corporate profits. Those
two factors should be good news for the stock markets. As
I've written before, I don't believe it's good news for the
bond markets. (See the January 9, 2004, Tip of the Week on
the website under the Tip Archives for more on bonds and the
financial markets).
Buy
When Others Are Scared to Buy - April 16, 2004
When the economy hits the skids, unemployment rises, and
the mood is somber and gloomy, the number of home purchases
usually plunges. Prices tend to fall as well. This situation
can signal a great time to step up and buy. Buy when homes
are "on sale" and when you don't have to compete
with many other buyers. Buy when you can have your pick of
a larger inventory of homes for sale.
Few people feel comfortable buying an investment that has
gone down in value, especially when things look bleak. (For
some perverse psychological reason, though, more of us love
shopping for bargains in retail stores.) Here are several
signs that a soft real estate market is beginning to firm
up:
· The monthly cost of
owning a home approximates the monthly cost of renting a similar
property. One of the beauties of a major real estate price
decline is that it can bring home-ownership costs back in
line with the rent costs. · The inventory of homes
listed for sale starts to fall from it's peak as home sales
pick up. · The rental market tightens
(as evidenced by increasing rents and a low vacancy rate).
Another good sign is that little new housing is being built. · The job market improves.
Remember that jobs fuel the demand for housing. Home prices
tend to rebound when employment increases. Watch for a decrease
in the unemployment rate in your region.
This week's tip is an excerpt from "Home Buying
For Dummies" by Ray Brown.
Medical
Emergencies - April 9, 2004
So, you've survived your first medical emergency, you're
grateful to be alive, you're on your way to a slow but complete
recovery and your insurance has been billed. Now what?
The first thing to do is to find out what your policy covers
so you can have an idea what your out-of-pocket expenses are
going to be and to make sure the benefits are paid accordingly.
You can get this information by reading your policy, by contacting
your insurance company, or by calling your agent; I recommend
the latter, if that's an option for you. In 3-4 weeks you
will begin to receive an Explanation of Benefits from your
insurance company telling you how the claims were processed.
They will have the date of service, provider name, amount
of the claim, the amount paid and what your responsibility
is, if any. If you're not sure about a bill, call the provider
and have them clarify what the charges are for. DO NOT ignore
any bills.
Hopefully, you will have enough money to pay your share of
the costs, but if you don't, contact all the providers you
owe money to and explain your situation and ask if they will
set up a payment plan based on what you can afford. Most providers
will do so, if you ask.
Miguel Paredes
Medical Insurance Specialist
Neal Truesdale Insurance, San Luis Obispo
More
Jobs! - April 2, 2004
Just two weeks ago, I wrote in this column about the "Unemployment
ABC's". We reviewed the idea that the economy may be
doing better than many people thought or were reporting on
a daily basis. I noted that one trend being observed was an
increase in the use of temporary workers, which is typically
a precursor to more new jobs being created.
Today, there was a report about 308,000 new non-farm jobs
being created. This was reported as the largest increase in
employment in four years; additionally, the figures for new
jobs for both January and February were revised upward to
159,000 and 46,000, respectively.
This bodes very well for the job market. It was reflected
in the stock markets as well, with stocks going up across
the board, while interest rates and gold lost ground.
The economy continues to look solid. The next news of importance
(which should verify these trends) will be the next round
of quarterly corporate earnings, which is due out soon.
Earnings
Season - March 26, 2004
Every quarter, we get economic results that come in several
forms; we get the government results on how the economy is
doing, results of how manufacturers are doing, the consumer
sentiment reports, unemployment numbers, and many more.
One report that is widely-watched is the corporate earnings
stated. There is a "regular earnings" season and
the "pre-earnings" season. The pre-earnings season
started prior to the regular corporate reports. (This might
be a more-than-obvious statement.) These reports tell us which
companies are not going to meet their earnings estimates.
These reports can either state that a company has under-performed
their estimates or outperformed their estimated earnings.
Regular earnings season, which happens every quarter, tells
you which companies have met their earnings estimates.
During both pre-earnings and regular earnings seasons, companies
will guide themselves for the future. Typically, the guidance
of how they expect to perform going forward will be "neutral,"
"positive," or "negative." All of these
factors can influence the performance of an individual company's
stock - or even the performance of the entire stock market.
Finally, there are times during the year when we are in-between
the quarterly earnings seasons; when that happens, the market
tends not to have much news to go on. Until we hit any news
of importance to the financial markets, there isn't much to
go on, leaving the markets to drift or react (which is where
we are at this point in time). Don't worry, though; the earnings
season happens every quarter and it is just around the corner,
now.
Unemployment
ABC's - March 19, 2004
We're hearing so much about unemployment these days; the
economy is strong, but we're not seeing much improvement in
the employment figures.
As always, I think it best to focus on the basics rather
than learn all there is to know about employment economics.
Here are five simple things to know about employment in our
economy.
1. Corporations generally do not hire when profits are too
low, non-existent, or declining.
2. As their corporate bottom line ("profit") improves,
they begin to look for more hours.
3. The first place to find help is to get more hours out
of your present work force. This can generally be accomplished
by using greater efficiency (like technology) and longer hours.
4. Once a company has used up the potential in Item Three,
they can turn to temporary workers. This can fill a gap without
committing to long-term employees.
5. The final step is to hire full-time employees, thereby
increasing payroll. This generally happens lastly, when the
company has exhausted all over options and feels comfortable
with the idea that profits are strong enough and sustainable.
I saw an article in the LA Times within the
past ten days discussing the demands being made on companies
that provide temporary workers. Based on my studies, this
bodes well for improvement in employment at some point down
the road.
Are
You Ready to Downsize? - March 12, 2004
Financial author, Harry Dent, says people hit their peak
years of spending in their mid- to late-40's. This might be
when kids are in their teens or in college. It's a period
when we are at (or near) our peak earning years, as well.
It is during these peak spending years that we accumulate
a lot of things; at some later point in time, those things
may become too much to manage or handle.
Some people tend to keep all these things they accumulate;
others take it a step further by just stuffing them in the
garage, to be cleared out somewhere down the road.
When you think of all this clutter, keep in mind that, at
some point in time, your children will have to clean it all
up. Since life does have a beginning and an end, you might
want to have some fun by clearing out the things you don't
want, earlier rather than later. It gives you the opportunity
to give special things to your family in person. It might
allow you the freedom to buy a smaller home, freeing up cash
to travel or have more fun in retirement. You might enjoy
making those special personal gifts to your relatives and
have a cleaner garage, too.
One of the toughest things a child or family member will
ever have to do it clean up someone's home when they are gone.
Do yourself - and them - a favor by simplifying your life
and by doing it early.
Does
Your Mutual Fund Turnover Too Much? - March 5, 2004
One of the key ways to determine the aggressiveness of your
mutual fund's management is its turnover ratio.
Mutual fund turnover ratio is the percentage of the portfolio
that is bought and sold during a single year.
Low turnover (generally less than 30% or 40% annually)
means you have managers who behave like investors. These managers
buy common stocks and allow time for the companies to grow
their business.
High turnover means that the managers are trading
more than they are investing. I consider this
to be a much more aggressive style with inherently higher
risk. Many mutual fund portfolio managers trade 80% - 300%
per year. In my opinion, the higher the turnover ratio, the
less correlation there is to the actual underlying businesses
of the common stocks being bought.
You can find mutual funds turnover ratio figures in many
places, including the mutual fund's prospectus.
This weeks tip is from March 19, 2002.
Estimating Proceeds
of Sale - February 27, 2004
In some situations, you may need to get a certain amount
of money from the sale of your house or know before you close
on a deal how much you will receive. You particularly should
take the time to understand the probable proceeds of sale
under the following scenarios.
You're strapped for cash because you want to buy a more
expensive home. You need to know before you sell
if you'll have enough money to complete your next purchase.
The worst case scenario if you don't: The sale of your current
house doesn't leave you enough money to buy your next one.
Although you probably won't end up homeless, you may end up
renting for awhile and having to make an extra move or having
to scrounge around at the last minute for money.
You're trading down because you need more money for retirement.
Perhaps you want to receive a certain amount of money from
your house sale in order to afford a particular retirement
standard of living. If you're not realistic about how much
cash you'll net from the sale, you may end up wasting a great
deal of time and money on a house sale that yields less cash
than you need or expect.
You're relocating, in part, because of finances. If
you have a choice about taking a job in some other part of
the country, you may be tempted to relocate if you think that
you'll be more comfortable financially. However, if you're
simply assuming or guessing that you'll be better off in the
new area, you may be wrong. You need to gather and review
some facts before you move.
This week's tip is an excerpt from "House Selling
For Dummies" by Ray Brown.
One Hundred Weeks Ago
- Where Were We Then? - February 20,
2004
Today marks our 100th Tip of the Week. We've certainly been
through quite a bit during the last 100 week period. Here's
a brief list of some of the things that we've experienced:
· The worst year of the worst bear market since
the 1930's: 2002
· A war in Afghanistan
· A war in Iraq
· The Enron and WorldCom debacles
· A recession
· The lowest interest and mortgage rates in 45
years
· The bottom of the bear market in October 2002
· More battles and terrorist attacks in Iraq, Afghanistan,
Israel and Palestine
Here's what the markets were on February 26, 2002, and what
they did during that pretty difficult period of time:
· Dow: 10,115.26 - an approximate 5.5% increase
· Nasdaq: 1,766.86 - an approximate 16.1% increase
· S & P: 1,109.38 - an approximate 3.7% increase
· 10-Year Bond: 4.91 - an approximate 21.23% decline
Long term investing is about perspective. Despite the numerous
(and sometimes extreme) difficulties between February 26th
of 2002 and today, there were gains and progress was made.
While challenges and difficulties do exist, there are always
positive things to look for on the horizon, and most difficulties
do pass. As I write today, the global economy is much stronger,
corporate profits are up, interest rates are still very low
and inflation is under control.
Ever Hear of Qupert
Murdoch? - February 13, 2004
No, that's not a typo; it's simply a very bad pun upon media
mogul Rupert Murdoch's name.
In estate planning, there is a tool used called a Qualified
Personal Residence Trust. The attorneys call it QPRT for short,
the phonetic pronunciation of which 'Cue-pert' (Rupert Murdoch,
get it?)
This tool allows a person (the grantor) to place their residence
in a QPRT at the current value of the asset. The grantor then
lives in their residence for a chosen period of time (a typical
term for a QPRT might be three or five years), after which,
the home belongs to the person or persons who are named as
beneficiary of the trust. The grantor is able to get the future
value of the asset out of their estate after they have completed
the term set out in the QPRT.
There are many tax and legal issues that need to be reviewed
prior to ever trying to set up a QPRT, which is quite a bit
more complex than my brief explanation above. You will have
to work with your whole financial team to make sure the legal,
investment and tax issues are properly handled. It is also
not a tool for everyone; generally those with a taxable estate
or possible taxable estate are better candidates.
You May Not Like It,
But You Need It - February 6,
2004
You may not like paying for it, but you need it. What am
I talking about? Insurance.
Less than four months ago, I had emergency open-heart surgery
to repair a torn aortic valve and a dissected aorta. Having
survived the very thing that killed John Ritter, I've had
an unwanted - but terrific - opportunity to see life differently.
Even with all of my common sense and training, I occasionally
asked myself why in the world we pay for so much insurance.
Clearly, we need it. There's no doubt that it's inexpensive
protection against life's risks. But, by pooling our insurance
assets along with other people's insurance assets, we buy
protection against many of life's risks and lower our share
of the costs associated with them. (This is similar to investing
in mutual funds, where your assets are pooled with other people's
investing dollars to give you lower risk on investment and
more buying power per dollar.)
My operation was an emergency procedure. I woke the morning
of October 23, 2003, knowing that I needed to go to the doctor
for an important medical examination. I had no way of knowing
that, 24-hours later, I would wake up in the Sierra Vista
Cardiovascular Intensive Care Unit, having survived open-heart
surgery.
Had I not had medical insurance coverage, my bills could
have been almost $300,000; instead, they totaled about $10,000.
So, the next time you wonder about the need for medical insurance,
think of this story and make certain you renew your coverage.
Great Tax Breaks on
Stock Dividends - January 30,
2004
On the tax-year 2003 Form 1099's from your mutual fund companies
or brokerage firms, you may notice that some of your common
stock dividends are classified as "qualified." This
is a direct result of the new tax laws passed around mid-2003.
The aim of the new law was to reduce the double taxation
that takes place on earned income at the corporate level.
In other words, corporations make a profit and then pay taxes
on that profit, after which the dividend is paid out to shareholders,
who then pay ordinary income tax rates on that profit. In
decades past, the ordinary income tax rate could be well over
50%.
The new law reduces the income taxes due on "qualified"
dividends paid by common stocks to either five percent (5%)
or fifteen percent (15%), depending upon your tax bracket.
This can amount to a pretty nice income tax savings, if you
have any qualified dividends being paid to you.
Further, this new break is an incentive for investors to
consider adding more dividend-paying common stocks to their
portfolios. Considering that these companies tend to be very
large, and that dividends have played a huge role in the total
return of common stocks, these new tax laws seem a "win/win"
for investors. They are also motivation for companies to consider
paying out new or higher dividends to their shareholders.
My final thought on this is that many common stocks have
dividends that are higher than the rates of return you are
getting on your certificates of deposit, savings accounts
and money market accounts.
Before investing in dividend-paying common stocks for this
purpose, or before filing your 2003 tax return, I suggest
that you consult your financial planner (me) or your tax professional.
Don't Be Surprised -
January 23, 2004
While I don't know when - or if - it will happen, I am certain
that the financial markets will not simply continue to rise
without adjustments.
Today's tip is simple. The economy and financial markets
are doing well after the long bear market because the underlying
fundamentals of both have steadily been improving. This doesn't
mean that we won't see adjustments in these markets from time
to time, nor does it mean that we'll have another long bear
market when we do experience a period of adjustment or correction.
The next time you see a decline in the value of the financial
markets, do yourself a favor and try to add a little to your
portfolio. Those of you who did so during the tough periods
of 2000-2003 have been experiencing the benefits of buying
low.
If you don't add to your portfolio, do yourself a favor by
trying not to panic and sell.
Don't Leave Home Without
It! - January 16, 2004
If you don't already have earthquake insurance, maybe you
should r