My Personal New Year's
Financial Resolutions - December 30, 2005
At the end of every year, I write a generic set of New Year's
resolutions as that year's last Tip of the Week. This year,
I thought it would be more meaningful to write my personal
financial resolutions to share with everyone. My hope is that
you'll see that, no matter who you are, you should take the
time to plan.
As you know, I am a huge believer in long-term planning;
at the same time, I also know that it generally takes many
small steps to make the long-term plans pay off. Here are
a few steps and goals that our family plans to take during
the next year.
1. Revisit and update our estate plan. We did our
trust in 1989. Many things have changed in ours live; both
personally and financially since that time. Our current plan
is inadequate to cover these changes.
2. Make an updated inventory of our belongings and
place it in the safe deposit box. It's been a while since
we've done our inventory. And, like everyone else, we've accumulated
more belongings that need to be accounted for insurance purposes.
Do you have everything you own committed to memory? I sure
don't.
3. Begin planning the remodel on our home. Establish
its design and initial budget.
4. Continue to maximize contributions to our retirement
plan.
5. Begin tax planning for 2006 by comparing projections
to the actual 2005 results. Review how taxes can be saved
and what it would take to do so.
6. Stephen (my step-son) graduates from Cal Poly and goes
from part-time to full-time at the office. Plan change
in business budget to account for his moving from a part-time
to full-time employee.
7. Continue to remind clients to refer friends and family.
(Sorry, couldn't resist!)
This is not a complete list of our goals for 2006, but it
is a solid start. I don't expect to fully accomplish all of
my goals this coming year, as that's probably not realistic;
however, I do expect to accomplish most of them. I'll share
with you what happened at the end of the year.
In the meantime, Steve, Stephen and I wish you and your family
a very happy and safe New Year! I thank you all for the continued
confidence in our work. We look forward to being there to
help you again in 2006.
All the best,
David
Apprvd.BBDP
Should You Rent a Home or Buy It? -
December 16, 2005
Compare the cost of renting a given home with the cost of
owning it. Such a comparison is effectively what current renters
do when they weigh the costs of buying a home and leaving
their landlord behind. Comparing the cost of owning a home
to the cost of renting that same property serves as a reality
check on home prices.
In order to make a fair comparison between renting and owning,
you must compare the monthly cost of renting to the monthly
cost of owning. If you compare the cost of renting a home
for $1,200 per month to the cost of buying that same home
for $250,000, you're comparing apples with oranges. That $250,000
is the total purchase of the home, not your monthly cost of
owning it.
And when you calculate home-ownership costs, you must also
factor in tax benefits. Your biggest home-ownership expenses
- mortgage interest and property taxes - are tax deductible.
The following real-life example illustrates how to compare
monthly rental and ownership costs. In the mid-1980s, three-bedroom
homes on modest lots in popular communities on the San Francisco
peninsula were selling for about $250,000. You could rent
these same homes for about $1,200 per month. The cost of owning
such a home (assuming a 20-percent down payment) amounted
to approximately $1,300 per month, factoring in the mortgage
interest and property tax write-offs.
Thus, at that time, you could have bought a home in this
beautiful, economically robust and diverse area and have had
monthly ownership costs about eqyal to the cost of renting
the very same home. Not bad. And don't forget that, over time,
the costs of renting would be fully exposed to inflation;
whereas, if you had bought your home with a fixed-rate mortgage,
the costs of owning would largely be constant. Buying a home
at this time was a good deal, given these facts.
Now fast-forward to 1990. In the short span of just a few
years, home prices in that area skyrocketed. Those $250,000
homes were selling for $400,000. Rents had risen slowly. Thus,
the cost of owning such a home amounted to more that $2,400
per month, although the cost of renting remained at $1,300.
Thus, in 1990, homeowners in this area were paying a substantial
premium to own (versus renting) a comparable home.
This week's Weekly Tip Newsletter is from
"Home Buying for Dummies" by Eric Tyson and Ray
Brown, reprinted by kind permission of San Francisco columnist
Ray Brown, a frequent guest on our show.
Apprvd.BBDP
Annual Pilgrimage to Saving on Your
Income Taxes - December 9, 2005
What better day to consider saving income taxes on your 2005
return than December 9, 2005? Tomorrow marks the day your
first installment of your property taxes is due. It also makes
for a good day to make sure you leave no stone unturned when
it comes to saving income taxes for 2005.
Here's a quick list of a few things you might still be able
to do:
1. Call your tax preparer to check for any last minute strategies
he or she may have for you.
2. Do any tax-loss selling you can to offset any potential
capital gains or to take advantage of the $3,000 of ordinary
income the IRS allows annually, or to potentially benefit
from both.
3. Pay any additional California State income tax you may
owe before the New Year. (In most cases, it will apply to
your 2005 federal tax return as a deduction).
4. If you aren't planning on paying the second installment
of your property taxes tomorrow, you might consider paying
them by December 31st to get the deduction on this year's
return, instead of waiting to use it on your 2006 return.
After all, you'll be paying it in on April 10, 2006 anyway.
Why not get the deduction now instead of waiting a year?
5. If you are self-employed, I suggest making any business
expenses that you can before year-end. Anything you might
be buying for your business in the first three or so months
of the new year might be something you consider buying before
December 31.
6. Some self-employed people have legal means to push income
into the following year if that makes more sense from a planning
perspective.
7. Keogh plans have to be established prior to year-end.
(This includes profit-sharing plans, defined benefit plans,
and money purchase plans). Keep in mind that they don't have
to be funded or invested by year end.
8. Charitable contributions need to be made prior to year
end.
9. If you know you will have a higher income and tax bracket
in 2006, you may want to push some tax savings vehicles into
next year.
Consider how your actions will affect your taxes for 2005
versus 2006. Sometimes it's best to take or use tax benefits
in the upcoming year.
You've got three weeks left; make the most of it. Remember
to consult with the appropriate experts before you act on
these ideas.
Most of all, I wish you and your family a wonderful holiday
season.
Apprvd.BBDP
Does Someone Else Know
Too Much About You?
Identity Theft, Part Three - December 2, 2005
Due to client request we are running a three part series
on identity theft from May 2002.
What are some of the demographics of victims of identity theft?
According to the Federal Trade Commission Identity Theft Hotline
and Data Clearinghouse, most identity theft happens to people
between the ages of 19 - 60. The average age of a complaint
was a 41 year old. In fact, those between the ages of 19 -
50 years of age represent approximately 76.8% of all identity
theft.
Logically, those age groups represent the majority of the
working population of our country. They also suggest that
identity thieves prefer stealing from people who are financially
very active with respect to spending, earning power, and investing.
The first thing you can do to protect yourself from identity
theft is to be aware of who is most likely to become a victim
and be more alert.
Apprvd.BBDP
Does Someone Else Know
Too Much About You?
Identity Theft, Part Two - November 18, 2005
Due to client request we are running a three part series
on identity theft from May 2002.
There are many types of crime associated with identity
theft. Here are a few types of identity theft that are, in
and of themselves, pretty frightening:
· Unauthorized Phone, Cell Phone or Utility
Service Theft
· Bank Fraud
· Fraudulent Loans
· Government Documents or Benefits Theft
· Using your personal information to gain employment,
obtain medical records, evade legal sanctions or criminal
records, obtain tax refunds, open or access Internet accounts,
declare bankruptcy, lease residences, and purchase or trade
in securities
Apprvd.BBDP
Does Someone Else Know
Too Much About You?
Identity Theft, Part One - November 11, 2005
Due to client request we are running a three part series
on identity theft from May 2002.
Identity theft is where a criminal somehow steals
your identity for their financial gain. It's the New Millennium
form of crime. Lately, I've seen a lot of press about this,
and I feel it's important that people take better care of
their personal financial information.
I personally know someone who had their identity stolen.
She had to close all of her accounts, get a new Social Security
number, obtain new IDs, change her phone numbers, and even
move to a new home.
During this short series, I will try to educate you on different
types of identity theft and give you a few ideas on how to
better protect yourself.
Apprvd.BBDP
Balancing the Dividends - November 4,
2005
During the 1990s, investors trended away from dividend-paying
common stocks and mutual funds to more aggressive investments;
they were essentially looking for all the return of their
investments to come from appreciation in the price of the
mutual funds or stocks. Dividends did not play a role with
these companies. There was a real risk that they would get
nothing from these investments in a flat or down market -
not even an income.
If we continue to see lower rates of appreciation in the
financial markets over the next few years than we did during
the 1990s, dividends will continue to play an important role
in total return (appreciation and dividends combined), as
part of a balanced, diversified portfolio. Based on an historical
perspective, common stocks have averaged a total return of
roughly ten percent per year. Of that total return, dividends
have always represented a substantial part.
A couple of years ago, the government changed the tax laws
in a way that gives favorable tax treatment to many dividend-paying
companies. Under that new law, dividends (or income) paid
by these companies are being taxed at either 10% or 15% Federally,
as opposed to 15%, 28%, or higher; this allows the shareholder
to be paid an income at reduced tax rates, along with the
appreciation potential you get with owning stocks or common
stock mutual funds.
As a result of all of the above, I have repositioned many
clients' portfolios to make sure that they have what (I think)
is an appropriate balance for the times we are in, to take
advantage of the new tax laws, and because we're all getting
just a little bit older every day.
Apprvd.BBDP
Global Growth Equals
Profits - October 28,
2005
In a recent Los Angeles Times article, General Electric was
quoted as saying that their global business grew 16% in the
past quarter. In addition, they said that their profit was
set to grow 10%-15% in the next year. They state that global
growth provides as solid basis for these expectations.
As many of you know, I've been an advocate of global growth
for 20 years. There are several primary reasons for my support
of global investing.
1. You can truly diversify your holdings when you are a global
investor.
2. There are so many great companies worldwide where you
can invest your money.
3. There is tremendous growth worldwide as the emerging markets
slowly plod towards becoming mature economies.
4. If there are problems in the United States, there may
be other areas of the world where things are economically
going well.
While we never know what's going to happen in the world or
in the financial markets, we do know there is a tremendous
amount of economic activity worldwide and to participate in
it should bear fruit in the years to come.
If you have any questions about this or any other investment
ideas, please give a call.
Apprvd.BBDP
Check Your Credit Report - October 21,
2005
If your credit report contains errors, the report may be
incomplete or contain information about someone else. This
typically happens because:
You applied for credit under slightly different names
(Robert Jones, Bob Jones, and so on).
Someone made a clerical error in reading or entering
name or address information from a handwritten application.
Someone gave an inaccurate Social Security number, or
the lender misread the number.
Loan or credit card payments were inadvertently applied
to the wrong account.
If you find an error, the credit reporting agency must investigate
and respond to you within 30 days. If you're in the process
of applying for a loan, immediately notify your lender of
any incorrect information in your report.
This week's tip is an excerpt from "Mortgages
For Dummies" by Ray Brown.
Apprvd.BBDPB
In With the Exotics -
Out With the Traditional - October
14, 2005
Exotic loans are a term we are reading about
a great deal these days. They are loans that people are taking
out on their real estate for three primary reasons:
1. They can't qualify for a traditional loan and are trying
to find a way to buy real estate now because they believe
they will forever be priced out of the market down the road.
2. They are planning to sell the property they are buying
soon for big short-term profits. (They are speculating that
the price will continue to rise quickly, as it has the past
seven years).
3. They are refinancing their home at a very low rate, with
plans to sell within a few years.
The most common exotic loans people seem to be using require
little-to-no down payment. They also carry very low interest
rates for the first one- to five-years (during this time,
the loans are accruing interest which is increasing the balance
of the loan); after the initial five-years, the interest rates
on the loans will increase to market rates or higher.
(If you want to read more about exotic loans, you might reference
the front page article in the Los Angeles Times - Business
section (Monday, October 10, 2005).
There are tremendous risks here that could really hurt
both the borrowers and the banks making these types
of loans:
What happens when the real estate market slows down and the
speculators can't afford to make the increased monthly payments
or can't sell the homes? Do they go into foreclosure? (I bet
some will default).
What happens to the homeowners if they can't refinance their
homes when their payments go up as a result of higher interest
rates?
What happens to some of the banks if they have too many of
these loans? Will it affect their earnings or the bank itself?
It's difficult to know what will happen with the exotic loans
that the banks are making and people are taking out today.
You can be sure that the risks that some are taking today
will find trouble down the road as interest rates rise and
real estate prices lessen their rate of increase.
My advice for today is to use caution at this time - be fiscally
prudent.
Apprvd.BBDPB
Are We Landed on Regression? - October 7,
2005
Regression to the mean is an economic concept
used to explain why markets generally end up getting close
to their average long-term rates of return when studied over
long periods of time.
Let's explore the stock markets in this regard:
Common stocks averaged well over 10% per year during the
great Bull Markets of the 1990s. Many experts say that common
stocks average about a 10% annual rate of return, with dividends
reinvested. During the past nearly six years, we've seen a
slowing in the rate of return for common stocks; this, in
the bigger picture, brings down the average rate of return
for common stocks from 1990 - 2005. On October 1, 1990, the
Dow Jones 30 Industrials Average opened at 2,489.36. It closed
yesterday, October 6, 2005, at 10,447.37. This is an average
annual rate of return of 10.03%. This means that the Down
Jones 30 Industrials averaged almost exactly 10% per year
during the past 15 years! I would be hard pressed to find
a better example of regression to the mean.
This leads me to an interesting question: Will the local
real estate market see some form of regression to the mean?
We almost all agree that it cannot continue to rise at the
incredible rates of appreciation we've seen over the past
seven years or so. It seems that everyone I've talked to lately
has said that the local real estate markets are slowing; where
they go from here is anyone's guess. Either way, I am guessing
we will see some regression to the mean in the local real
estate market at some point, not too far off from now.
How could we experience regression to the mean in the local
real estate markets?
1. We could see a slow down in the market's activity.
2. There could be a drop in prices.
3. Prices could flatten for a period of time, allowing regression
to the mean to kick in.
4. There could be a prolonged slowing in rate of appreciation
of real estate.
5. Some or all of the above.
It's always important to keep a good perspective on life;
this absolutely includes investing. Regression to the mean
generally shows its face at some point in any economic cycle.
Is this the time it's beginning to show its face?
Apprvd.BBDPB
Mathematics of Loss -
September 30, 2005
It's important to understand that investing is not a sprint,
it's a marathon. Many investors strive to get "too good
to believe" returns without considering what happens
when that star investment has just a single bad year in
four.
If you make 10% per year for three years in a row, you're
average annual rate of return is 10%. What happens to your
annualized rate of return when you lose ten percent (-10%)
in year four?
Take a look at the following chart to see what happens when
you lose money in year four. Note what you'll need to make
in year five to get back to an average annualized rate of
return of 10% for all five years.
1st Year 10%
2nd Year 10%
3rd Year 10%
4th Year -10%
Annualized rate of return after four years is 4.6%.
The fifth year return needed to get back to 10% per year
is 34.4%.
The moral of today's story is to strive for consistant returns
keeping the mathematics of loss to a minimum.
Apprvd.BBDPB
China Helps Control Long-Term
U.S. Interest Rates? - September 23,
2005
Some might find the above headline amusing or even unbelievable.
How could China, a communist state, control long-term interest
rates in the United States?
It seems there's a reason that long-term interest rates have
not risen despite healthy economic growth, rising short-term
interest rates, more borrowing by the U.S. government, and
high energy and commodity prices. All of these factors should
normally increase long-term interest rates. They tend to be
inflationary. Higher inflation will generally be slowed by
higher interest rates and less money being available to borrow.
Many economists believe that countries like China, who are
selling us billions of dollars in goods, are taking that money
and reinvesting it back into the United States in our
bonds. The billions of dollars that are flowing back
into our long-term U.S. Treasury bonds are creating a demand
for them which, in turn, increases the value of the
bonds. (This is a terrific illustration of the law of
supply and demand: when the demand for an item is
high, the price goes up; when demand is low, the price declines.)
Countries like China have a direct interest in the United
States economy doing well, because we are such great
customers of theirs. Higher interest rates might slow our
level of economic activity which, in turn, could slow their
economy as well; therefore, they purchase our bonds to keep
rates low and sales up.
The end result could be interpreted as an artificially-low,
long-term interest rate that really might need to be higher,
in order to keep our inflation in check.
How this story will end remains to be seen; it is surely
an interesting one, which could play out over many years to
come.
Apprvd.BBDPB
Mistakes People Can Make
Choosing Beneficiaries - September 16,
2005
Many investors make mistakes by incorrectly filling out or
neglecting to fill out their beneficiary forms for their retirement
accounts and/or annuities. Doing so can leave your heirs with
some pretty serious problems.
Some of these can problems can include:
1. The family members, charity, or friends not receiving
your account, as you would want them to.
2. The rightful heirs having to go to court to receive their
inheritance. This can create a huge loss of time and/or potentially
large unnecessary legal costs.
3. Additional taxes being paid when not necessary.
4. The distribution of the account over a shorter period
of time than you or they had intended.
Do not make the mistake of leaving your beneficiary designation
blank or incomplete. Do not simply put "my estate"
as a listing. Make a change to a different beneficiary if
you still have your divorced spouse listed and you don't wish
it to be this way.
Finally, make sure you consult with your financial planner
and estate attorney before making these crucial decisions,
and then make sure your beneficiary information is kept current.
Apprvd.BBDPB
Municipal Bond Funds
Hurt by Hurricane Katrina? - September 9,
2005
Many cities along the Gulf Coast of the United States are
trying to recover from one of the worst natural disasters
in the history of our country. Not even two weeks into this
enormous task, it's clear that the scope of the disaster will
hit everyone, physically and financially. The tragic loss
of life leaves me speechless. The financial losses and costs
are running into the tens of billions, which must include
state and local entities that have issued municipal bonds
in those areas.
We won't know for quite some time the full extend of the
damage done to the Gulf Coast; we already know it's extraordinarily
extensive. In time, we will find out how the destruction has
affected the municipal bonds and bond issuers of these areas,
and if the existing bonds will continue to pay interest due
and (ultimately) the principal that will be due their investors.
Anyone holding a municipal bond fund that might be specific
to the Gulf Coast may have a real problem, as their municipal
bonds or municipal bond fund could lose some - or all - of
their value.
In California, we have the ever-present risk of earthquakes;
we've seen earthquakes cause very extensive destruction in
various parts of our state over the past four-decades, yet
the experts say they are still expecting "the Big One"
to hit our state one day.
The easiest way to try not to have these types of problems
is to invest in nationally-diversified municipal-bond portfolios,
as opposed to single-state portfolios. By investing in a mutual
fund portfolio that is nationally diversified, you will not
have all your money invested in the bonds of one state; it
will be invested in the municipal bonds of issuers all around
our country.
When you invest in single-state bonds or single-state bond
funds, like California, you generally get double tax-free
income (in other words, you don't pay taxes at either the
federal or state level). If you invest in a nationally-diversified
portfolio, you generally don't pay federal income taxes, but
you will pay state income taxes.
Given the real risks of very bad things happening in our
lifetimes, like "the Big One" hitting California,
it may be worth paying a little state income tax in order
to more-broadly diversify your municipal bond portfolio; the
end result (in a case like this) is not having as much at
risk if a large disaster truly hurts the ability of the bond
issuers to pay the income on their debts - or even the principal
itself.
The moral of today's story is that there are real benefits
to diversification.
Apprvd.BBDPB
It Really Can
Happen to You -September 2, 2005
In the wake of the catastrophic disaster which Hurricane
Katrina has left behind comes a stark reminder that very bad
things really can happen to anyone; that's why it's
important to make sure you are prepared.
Hurricane Katrina has summoned an immediate call to help
from all over our country. People are mobilizing resources
of all kinds to help victims of the storm. Non-profit organizations,
like the Red Cross or United Way, are helping throughout this
difficult time; I have volunteered through the CFP®
Board to assist affected families who need financial advice
via email.
This tragedy also serves as a reminder to make sure you are
prepared for predictable - as well as unpredictable - events
that can happen in our lives. I can give you a few things
to consider from a financial standpoint that might help you
to be better prepared, in case of an emergency:
1. Is your estate plan in order and current?
2. Do you have a durable power of attorney for financial
matters?
3. Do you have a durable power of attorney for health
matters?
4. Is your homeowner's or renter's insurance policy
adequate?
5. Do you have life insurance?
6. Do you have medical insurance?
7. Do you have disability insurance?
8. Do you have long-term care insurance?
9. Do you have earthquake insurance?
10. Do you need and have flood insurance?
11. Is your property kept clear of weeds, etc. to
protect it from fire or flooding?
12. Do you have a current inventory of your belongings
that is kept outside of your home?
13. Do you have a little cash on-hand to take with
you in an emergency?
14. Do you keep half a tank of gas or more in your car
at all times in case you need to get out quickly?
This list is likely not complete, and each item does not
apply to everyone; however, if you are not up-to-date with
the issues that pertain to your life, let this serve as a
reminder that you should do it soon.
I wish you all the best. Don't hesitate to call me if you
have any questions.
Apprvd.BBDPB
What Drives Real Estate
Market and Prices? - August 26,
2005
Okay, you may call it your career, or (even better) one of
your passions, but, to be honest, most people work
to pay the bills. And a home and its accompanying expenses
are one of the biggest sources of expenses that people have
(hence, one of the reasons we end up working so many decades
as adults)!
It stands to reason that the demand for housing and the ability
to pay for housing is deeply affected by the abundance and
quality of jobs in a community or area. From an investment
perspective, an ideal area (where homes appreciate in value
at a relatively high rate) has the following characteristics:
Job Growth: So what if an area has hundreds of thousands
or millions of jobs if the number of jobs is shrinking? The
New York City metropolitan area had millions of jobs, yet
experienced declining real estate prices in the late 1980's
and early 1990's, due to a deteriorating job base. Job creation
is the lifeblood of a healthy local real estate market. Check
out the unemployment situation and examine how the jobless
rate has changed in recent years. Good signs are a declining
unemployment rate and increasing job growth.
Job Diversity: No, we're not talking about political
correctness, here. If a community is reliant on a paper manufacturer
and an underwear maker for half of its jobs, you should be
wary of buying a home there. If these two companies go in
the tank, the real estate market will follow. This scenario
actually played out in the early 1990's in smaller communities
that were badly hurt when large defense manufacturers and
military bases lost many employees due to defense cutbacks.
Job Quality: All jobs are not created equal. Which
area do you think has faster appreciating real estate prices:
an area with more high-paying jobs in growth industries (such
as technology), or an area that's producing mostly low-pay,
low-skill jobs (such as those jobs found at fast food joints)?
As with food and entertainment, quality is just as important
(if not more important) as quantity. If most of the jobs in
a community come from slow-growing or shrinking employment
sectors (such as farms, small retailers, shoe and apparel
manufacturers, and government), real estate prices are unlikely
to ride quickly in the years ahead. On the other hand, areas
with a preponderance of high-growth industries (such as technology)
should have a greater chance of experiencing faster price
appreciation.
This week's tip is an excerpt from "Home Buying
For Dummies" by Ray Brown.
Apprvd.BBDPB
Do We Have an Oily Mess?
- August 19, 2005
The price of oil is now over $64 per barrel.
This is essentially at an all-time high; however, when adjusted
for inflation, it is not as high as it was during the Persian
Oil Crisis in the early 1970's, when we all had to line up
to get gasoline.
What have I been hearing from people, whom I interview on
my radio show, or reading or thinking about this?
1. There is a pretty fair amount of speculation going on
in the oil markets. People are playing oil like a chip at
a casino, moving the price around in the futures markets and
making money for themselves, while we all pay for it.
2. The United States has been filling its strategic reserves,
causing unusual demands on supplies; when the reserves are
filled, we will see reduction in demand and price too.
3. China is using a lot of oil to build out their infrastructure.
4. Oil will drop in price as the summer driving season ends.
5. Higher oil prices are causing more inflation and could
hurt the economy.
6. China is doing a good job at creating more alternative
energy resources that will keep the price down in the long
term.
These are but a few of the things I've taken in over the
past few months. One thing is clear: higher oil prices are
not a positive for the global economy. Some expect the price
of oil to decline and others expect it to rise. (So what else
is new? Economists and investors tend to see things diametrically
opposed.)
The bottom line is that the global economy seems strong and
growing. The Federal Reserve seems to be doing a good job
at keeping inflation tamed. While I don't pretend to be able
to predict the future, I can say that the price of oil will
matter at some point; for now, it doesn't seem to have meaningfully
hurt the economy (though one day it could, if it keeps rising).
Apprvd.BBDPB
Do Not Call Registry
- August 12, 2005
Are you disinterested in having telephone solicitations made
to your home phone? I bet you're even less interested in having
solicitations made to your cell phone.
I've heard that cell phone numbers will be in play for telephone
solicitors in the not too distant future. Imagine having someone
uninvited calling you trying to sell you something you're
not inquiring about. Add to that the fact that they are burning
up your minutes. It's a losing proposition for many of us.
Here's what you can do to help prevent these unwanted and
uninvited calls:
3. Complete the process when they send you a link to activate
your number.
They allowed me to register three telephone numbers in the
National Do Not Call Registry. I entered my cell phone, my
wife's cell phone, and our home phone. Doing so can save you
time, money, and hassles.
Apprvd.BBDPB
U.S. Government Goes
Back Thirty Years - August 5,
2005
Very shortly the U.S. government will start selling thirty
year Treasury bonds again. If this is news to you, then you
may be surprised to learn that they stopped selling them during
the Clinton Administration years ago.
Why would the U.S. government want to start selling the thirty
year Treasury bond again? And, why should this be good?
The Treasury Department is selling the bonds again because
long term interest rates are at historic lows. Refinancing
any debt at low rates is considered a good strategy.
It's good because the United States owes a lot of money and
to have it at low rates means less financial pressure on the
government and tax payers in the decades ahead. With the Baby
Boom generation getting close to retirement it's likely our
government will have more need to borrow. Doing so at low
rates is a good choice if you have to make one.
Is now a good time to buy the new thirty year government
bond?
It's always best to buy long term bonds when interest rates
are peaking or about to decline. This means their value should
rise. It's always riskier to buy bonds with interest rates
rising. They are more likely to lose value under that scenario.
I urge you to be careful about buying thirty year bonds when
it looks like interest rates are going to rise.
Apprvd.BBDPB
ICE is Good Advice -
July 29, 2005
Here's a useful idea to add to your cellular phone address
book. This was thought of by a paramedic who found that, when
they went to the scenes of accidents, there were always mobile
phones but they didn't know which numbers to call. He thought
it would be great if there was a nationally recognized name
to file a "next of kin" under.
Following the recent disaster in London, East Anglian Ambulance
Service has launched a national "In
Case of Emergency (ICE)" campaign with the support
of an English war hero, Simon Weston. The idea is that you
store the word "ICE" in your mobile phone address
book and, under "ICE", you would enter the number
of the person you would want to be contacted "In Case
of Emergency (ICE)". For more than one contact, enter
the name and contact information under "ICE1," "ICE2,"
"ICE3," etc.
In an emergency situation, ambulance or hospital staff would
quickly be able to find out who your next of kin are and would
know how to contact them. It's so simple that everyone can
do it. I suggest you make it a part of your emergency planning
and tell your next of kin and friends about it as well. It
really could save your life - or put
a loved one's mind at rest.
Apprvd.BBDPB
Does The Tax Tail Wag
the Dog? - July 22, 2005
Over the many years that I have been a Certified Financial
Planner, I have seen countless, remarkable to rather-regular
things in this business.
One of the most common things that people do or think about
is saving taxes. I am all for saving taxes; however, saving
taxes should never take the place of making sound economic
decisions.
Many people made investments in the early-to-mid 1980's,
with very little regard for the true value or economic worth
of the investments, because they got big tax benefits. The
problem is that the investments lost much of their value when
the federal government changed the tax laws; futhermore, as
a result of the changes in the tax laws, people ended up paying
too much for the investments going in.
In my opinion, it's almost never a good idea to make an investment
decision based upon taxes first; once you understand if you
are making a good investment decision, it's always a good
idea to consider tax strategy next.
Apprvd.BBDPB
Secret to Real Estate
Success - July 15, 2005
One of the great secrets to success in real estate is leverage.
What do I mean when I talk about leverage? This is when you
buy a piece of property as an investment, using a loan to
finance the purchase. How does leverage make you more successful
in a real estate investment?
Let's say you pay $500,000 for a piece of property. You use
$100,000 as a down payment. Then, you borrow the balance or
$400,000 to complete the purchase. Your amount of debt is
four to one, or twenty percent (20%) your money and eighty
percent (80%) the bank's money. If your property appreciates
six percent (6%), it gains $30,000 in value ($30,000 is six
percent of $500,000). It also represents 30% on your $100,000
down payment. This is how people can make lots of money on
real estate in good times. They use very low down payments
and lots of debt.
There are very real risks to doing this. Here are a few things
that can happen when you have debt on investment real estate:
1. Lots of debt means a heavy payment. There is always the
potential to not have enough income to cover it. Even with
a tenant, you could not have enough income to cover your payments.
This is called negative cash flow. You end up investing more
in the property which, in turn, reduces your overall investment
results.
2. Higher leverage or debt could be devastating if the tenant
moves out and you have no income. This is also going to lead
to negative cash flow and the same result.
3. If the real estate market drops, you could end up with
no equity in the property or worse.
4. If you can't handle the payments, you could even lose
the property (like many people did in the early 1990's).
One of the great ways to make money in real estate is through
the appropriate use of debt on investment property. As the
markets rise higher and higher, it becomes more difficult
to make debt work in your favor. Today, you might need to
use a 35% to 50% down payment to make the property just break
even; we're not even talking about getting an actual income
from your investment. This type of investment structure can
be more speculative, which increases your overall investment
risks; furthermore, the less leverage you use in a real estate
transaction, the lower the potential return on investment.
Given that it's nearly impossible to find a good deal in
San Luis Obispo County right now that makes true economic
sense, I urge you to tread carefully when investing in real
estate. No good thing lasts forever...just keep the late 1990's
stock market as a reminder.
Apprvd.BBDPB
Renting a Car During
Your Summer Vacation? - July 8, 2005
Did you know that rental car agencies make a pretty fair
profit on the money they charge you for their insurance in
case you are in an accident with their car?
With summer vacations here, many of us will end up renting
cars while we're away on a trip.
Before you go on vacation, make sure to ask your auto insurance
agent if you would be covered by your current policy, should
you damage a rented vehicle. Even if you are
covered by your present automobile policy, make sure you understand
the limits of your policy and if you would have any financial
liability should you damage the vehicle you rent.
If your agent says you're in good shape and don't need the
rental car agency's coverage, you should be free to sign the
rental agency's waiver of coverage. This can save you $15
per day or more; however, do not sign the waiver before
you know if your current policy adequately protects you.
If you are not covered by your present insurance policy, waiving
the rental agency's coverage for the rented car could be a
very expensive way to save a few dollars a day.
One other fact to note, when renting a car, relates to which
country you are traveling in while on vacation. If you are
not going to be in the United States, I strongly suggest you
check with your agent about the coverage your current insurance
policies provide while driving in a foreign country, as well
as checking with the automobile rental agency on their coverage
and requirements. When traveling abroad, renting and driving
cars can be an entirely different thing. You may find that
your policy only covers you in certain countries. You may
also find that there are different legal requirements for
drivers from one country to the next. It's best to know all
of this ahead of time.
Good luck and bon voyage!
Apprvd.BBDPB
The Mathematics of Loss
- July 1, 2005
Ever wonder what happens to your overall return when your
investments have a losing year? It's really quite remarkable
to see what happens when you make money three years in a row
and lose money the fourth year.
Here's an example:
1 Year Return
Average Annual Return
Year 1
+10%
+10%
Year 2
+10%
+10%
Year 3
+10%
+10%
Year 4
-10%
+4.6%
Year 5
+34.4%
+10%
An investment that gained 10% for three straight years
would have an average annual total return of 10%.
If you were to lose ten percent in the fourth year, your
average annual total return would drop to 4.6%
In order to get back to an average annual rate of return
of 10% per year, you'd need to earn 34.4% in the fifth year.
This is well above how the financial markets have normally
performed. In fact, a 34.4% return in a single year rarely
ever occurs.
The moral of this story is to look for investments which
are steady performers as opposed to investments which can
be very hot and very cold. Consistency is important in the
investment world far more than you would imagine. Remember
the story of the tortoise and the hare next time you make
an investment.
Apprvd.BBDPB
Reverse Mortgages for
Retirement Income? - June 24, 2005
If you own a home, a reverse mortgage allows you to tap into
its equity (the difference between the market value of your
home less the mortgage debt owed on it) to supplement your
retirement income - while you still live in your home. Because
these mortgages are so different from what most people expect,
it generally takes a while for the most basic information
to sink in. Even experienced financial professionals are often
surprised to learn how these loans really work, how different
their costs and benefits can be, and what you have to look
out for.
A reverse mortgage is a loan against your home that you don't
have to repay as long s you live there. In a regular or so-called
forward mortgage, your monthly loan repayments make your debt
go down over time until you've paid it all off. Meanwhile,
your equity is rising as you repay your mortgage and as your
property value appreciates.
With a reverse mortgage, conversely, the lender sends you
money, and your debt grows larger and larger as you keep getting
cash advances, make no repayment and interest is added to
the loan balance. That's why reverse mortgages are called
rising debt, falling equity loans. As your debt grows larger,
your equity generally gets smaller.
A reverse mortgage merits your consideration if it fits your
circumstances. Reverse mortgages may allow you to cost-effectively
tap you home's equity and enhance your retirement income.
If you have bills to pay, want to buy some new carpeting,
need to paint your home, or simply feel like eating out and
traveling more, a good reverse mortgage may be your salvation.
This week's tip is an excerpt from "Mortgages
For Dummies" by Ray Brown.
Apprvd.BBDPB
Some People Are Going
to Get Hurt - June 17, 2005
When common stocks were soaring at the end of the 1990s and
in early 2000 I cautioned people not to be overly optimistic
about their potential returns and getting rich quick. However,
in the midst of a great market like the stock market had or
the real estate market is having, it's important to keep perspective
and that's very tough to do. Keeping perspective has been
a mantra of mine as long as I have been in the financial planning
world.
You might ask "where is he going with this?"
It seems to me that people are willing to pay almost any
price for a piece of real estate these days. (Many investors
were the same way about some stocks, particularly tech and
dot.com stocks during the bubble.) I see little in the way
of fundamentals involved in their purchases. That can work
great, as it did with common stocks a few years ago, as long
as the market is going in one direction, up. What is the likely
result of this type of investing? I believe some people are
going to get hurt when the real estate market begins to change
direction or sees slowing in its rate of appreciation.
I was recently sent a newsletter by a local mortgage broker
referring to an Office of Federal Housing Enterprise Oversight
study. It showed how different housing markets had done between
1980 and 2004. Over that 24 year period, the California housing
market has seen an increase of 426.1%. Extrapolating this
information, you'd find that a house costing $100,000 in 1980
now costs $426,100. While this sounds terrific, you might
want to note that this is a compounded rate of return of 6.23%.
This is hardly the rates of appreciation we're seeing today
of two and three times 6.23%, or more.
Just like the stock market, I can almost guarantee
that the rate of return we are getting on real estate is going
regress to the mean at some point. No market goes up or down
forever. It's important to keep that in mind and in your perspective
as you make important investment decisions.
Apprvd.BBDPB
The Importance of a Great
Education in a Global Economy - June 10, 2005
You would be amazed at how many well-educated people the
rest of the world is turning out. While I can't verify this
number, I once read that China was graduating 450,000 new
engineers per year. That's an amazing number. Most of them
work for less money than engineers in the United States and
other developed countries of the world. What does this kind
of thing mean to the people of the United States?
As the world grows, bringing with it amazing opportunity,
competition for jobs grows. In order for the United States
to compete, our children will have to be at least as well
educated as children in other countries around the world,
since our labor costs are higher. Why hire an engineer from
the United States when you can hire one from India or China
for less?
The globalization of the world's economies should better
the standard of living for most everyone on the planet, eventually.
This will make for a giant economic engine that will provide
opportunity for billions of people and tens of thousands of
companies. Higher standards of living should mean less strife
and poverty. One benefit could be less war, as people are
more satisfied with what they've got in life.
Anyway you look at it, we're seeing a long process of global
evolution that will challenge the brightest of us to compete.
As before, we need to be mindful of doing the best job we
can while educating our children, so they will be able to
succeed in this ever growing global economy.
Apprvd.BBDPB
Free Excel Personal Expenses
Spreadsheet Program - Just Ask -
June 6, 2005
All my clients need to know how they spend their money on
a daily, monthly and yearly basis - my family included.
I've developed a spreadsheet that we use in the Cryden household
to keep track of how we spend money. There are many reasons
to do this, which can include:
1. Better management of cash flow to reduce overspending.
2. Finding ways to save more money for retirement, a special
trip, a project or any other special need.
3. Knowing today's current family expenses may help to determine
how those expenses might change upon retirement. (The spreadsheet
becomes a basis for complete retirement planning).
I'd be happy to email a free copy of my Personal Expenses
Spreadsheet to you; all you need to do is make a request.
It's easy to use and will take the guesswork out of expense
planning. I will include a guideline to help with its usage;
I am also available to answer any questions you may have about
the spreadsheet or to help with your financial needs.
Apprvd.BBDPB
Indexes Don't Always
Work - May 27, 2005
Indexes don't always work. Some people make the case that
investing in an index fund is all you need to do. Here are
a few thoughts that argue against such vague generalities.
In a flat market, an index will stay flat. In other words,
if you are buying the market and it doesn't go anywhere, it's
not likely you'll be making any money.
In a down market, indexes are vulnerable to the drop of the
market. Indexes are what's called "fully-invested,"
which means that they have nearly every penny in the fund
invested in the market. They are not allowed to hold a greater
percentage of cash, as that's not what the index is made up
of. An index is always fully invested; hence, when the market
drops, so does the index.
Even in some "up"-markets, stock market indexes
don't always work. Indexes are like a chef following a recipe:
they invest in exactly what makes up the index and, if their
individual holdings are not doing well (as in companies or
the market is not interested in them), the index may under
perform the market. Their mangers have no way to adjust this
or buy the stocks they prefer, as they are stuck with the
formula that makes up a particular index.
I believe we are in a period where a manager's ability to
find great companies at the right price is very important.
I do not see this as a period where the broad market does
well automatically, which would be a better period for an
index. I believe this is the period where great money managers
earn their keep. Do you have great money management?
Apprvd.BBDPB
No One Knows - May 20,
2005
No one ever really knows what the financial world will bring
us. Simply put, there are too many factors which have an affect
on the investment world on a daily basis; however, it's rare
that watching any investment on a daily basis will carry any
long-term meaning.
So what does matter, if no one knows?
" Solid fundamental money management can take
you a long way. This applies to any investment be it securities
or real estate.
" Taking that a step further, you can make the case
that solid investment fundamentals make a big difference
in the long term. As a friend of mine says, if you live on
the cutting edge, you can bleed.
" Investment choice or location can make or break
you. If you choose the right house in the wrong location,
you might not make anything. If you buy the right company
or stock at the wrong price, you could be up the same creek.
" Profit brings growth. When it comes to any
investment, you want profits. Growing profits or income should
equate to higher value. This usually happens over long periods
of time (to better define "time," it's not days,
weeks or even months; it's years).
Too many people forgot about these basic, long-term investment
fundamentals during the 1990's by purchasing common stocks
or mutual funds that were hot, had no income or profit, or
were not managed fundamentally, looking for short term profit.
Many people today are buying real estate at very high prices
while not looking at the fundamentals. It's fair to say that
a great number of these properties have negative cash flow
or no profit, which means that they are requiring additional
investments on a monthly basis just to pay the bills. In my
opinion, they are being purchased under the assumption that
there will be a person who will buy them for more. With common
stocks and real estate, the same holds true: it's the long-term
that matters, but it's also the basics that
matter. If you don't apply them, you take a higher chance
of losing money. You almost certainly are taking on more risk.
When no one knows, I say: "Stick to the basics."
Apprvd.BBDPB
China "9.5"
- May 13, 2005
Does this sound like a score of an Olympic event? It sure
doesn't sound like it could be the rate of economic growth
for the Chinese economy, does it?
That's exactly what we have. The Chinese economy most recently
showed an annual rate of economic growth of 9.5%. This rate
of growth is roughly two- to three-times that of the United
States and other mature economies. It's truly an amazing number.
Think about it for a minute: This is a country with 1.2 billion
people - roughly twenty percent (20%) of the world's population.
It's staggering to think of the resources they are using to
build their economy at this rate. This is one of the real
reasons for the cost of oil, and the doubling of the price
of steel and other natural resources, in the last 18 months
or so.
What does this mean to us? Well, it means that we will likely
see increased costs of natural resources; in addition, we'll
eventually see China as the world's largest economy. The world
will probably face increased challenges in dealing with pollution,
as the transition of this emerging economy occurs. We'll also
see millions of Chinese with better standards of living, which
(many might argue) is not a bad thing.
It's likely that all of this will not play out perfectly
for the world; however, we should see economic opportunity
for thousands of companies to profit, and millions of people
to make a better living, from helping to grow China's economy.
This should make for a good time to be invested in the world's
financial markets.
We are living in an extraordinary time in the growth of the
world's economy. I suggest you watch what's going on, participate
how you can, and learn from this amazing period.
Apprvd.BBDPB
Buying Down - Selling
that Larger Home for a Smaller One? - May 6, 2005
Are you thinking of getting into a smaller home? Many people
like to at least consider selling the larger home they live
in to simplify life. There are many reasons to do this.
Some people sell so they can reduce the amount of yard work
and maintenance they have to do. Others sell because they
don't need a large house for just one or two people. It's
not uncommon for people to sell their larger family home to
reduce the expenses of owning a home. Finally some people
sell their homes because they wish to free up the equity in
their home for investment and a higher income.
If any of these reasons ring a bell with you, I suggest you
consider selling while the real estate markets are still hot
and mortgage rates are still low. Low mortgage rates allow
for buyers to pay more for a home since the cost to borrow
is down. Typically, spring and summer are the best times of
the year for the real estate markets. With children out of
school, families are more likely to move.
This may be a great time to consider making a move with your
home. If you'd like to talk about it, give me a call.
Apprvd.BBDPB
S&P 500 vs. Managed
Funds - April 29, 2005
There was a time, from 1995 to 1998, when the S&P 500
Index could seemingly do nothing wrong. It was the darling
in every investor's eye.
An index fund should typically do well in a broad, rising
market, which is the kind of market we had in the 1990s.
Most stocks went up in that environment. Since an index fund
is fully invested - roughly 95% of the money to be invested
is in the market - it does well in a strong, broad, up
market. Generally, it does not do as well in a falling market,
as it is fully invested; in other words, there is no cash
on the sidelines to counteract falling prices. One other thing
to keep in mind is that an index fund may not do as well in
a market that isn't broadly rising, as it isn't selective
about what it owns and what it pays to own the stocks in the
index.
There are good, well-managed mutual funds that have beaten
the markets and indexes over long periods of time. They can
have several advantages that the indexes don't offer. Here
are a few:
1. They are not always fully invested, which means that they
may hold larger portions of cash when they can't find a stock
they wish to buy at a price they like; the extra cash can
be a nice cushion in a tough down market.
2. They are not given a recipe of stocks they have to buy
so they can say they are "the index"; further, they
are not told to buy them at any price simply because the money
needs to be invested.
3. They have a much larger range of companies to choose from
than an index fund. The S&P 500 Index is 500 stocks, period.
A blue chip stock fund may have hundreds more companies to
choose from and will generally be very careful about which
it owns. Most blue chip stock funds have 100 or fewer holdings,
not 500.
We seem to be in a market that requires strong research and
selective money management. I don't believe that we are in
the same environment that we saw in the 1990s, nor do I believe
we'll get to that point anytime soon. While I could easily
be wrong, I have always felt that investing is about buying
great companies at good prices and participating in their
growth as owners.
When selecting an investment, it's important to understand
how it's managed and what the environment is like at that
time. Don't hesitate to call if you'd like to discuss these
issues.
Disclaimer:
As with any investments, there is no guarantee of results.
It's important to choose carefully and read any prospectuses
before investing.
Apprvd.BBDPB
Summer Airline Saving
Tip - April 22, 2005
Doing some summer travel planning? Want to compare airline
flight costs using only one website?
While interviewing Pauline Frommer of "Arthur
Frommer's Budget Travel" last year, she gave
me a terrific tip for comparing airfares on a website called
Cheapflights.com.
Pauline's father, Arthur Frommer, is the well-known travel
writer who has penned the "Europe on $5 a Day"
books.
Did you know that your life insurance policy is generally
a part of your estate when you die? It could actually end
up pushing some people's estate into a position of becoming
a taxable estate.
Most people don't know that, when they die, the proceeds
from their life insurance policies can end up as part of their
estate. By taking additional planning steps, it's possible
to eliminate this issue.
One way to try to keep your life insurance policy out of
your estate is to establish what's called an "irrevocable
life insurance trust," which allows your policy
to benefit you but not actually be part of your estate.
Putting an irrevocable life insurance trust together is a
complex process, requiring the services of an estate planning
attorney; it should be done with proper planning and is not
for everyone, but, for those with large estates, or estates
that could be made large as a result of life insurance coverage,
it is potentially a viable option.
Please consult with me before you begin the process of establishing
an irrevocable life insurance trust with your estate planning
attorney.
Apprvd.BBDPB
Exteriors Attract, But
Interiors Sell - Part II - April 8, 2005
This is Part Two in a two-part series about preparing
your home for sale.
Curb appeal draws buyers into your house, but appealing interiors
make the sale.
You don't have to spend tens of thousands of dollars on your
house prior to putting up the "For Sale" sign. On
the contrary, the little things you do generally give the
biggest increase in value. Concentrate on the three Cs - clean
up, clear out, and cosmetic improvements.
Clean, scrub, and polish everything: Your appliances,
the walls, floors, bathtubs, showers, and sinks should be
cleaned until they sparkle. Buyers will notice strong
smells as soon as they walk through your front door, so eliminate
smoke, mildew, and pet odors. Cleaning your drapes and carpets
is a great place to start, but be thorough and clean your
cat's litter box, remove ashes from the fireplace, and eliminate
any signs of cigarette smoke from inside your house. Fix drippy
faucets, and if your sinks or bathtubs drain slowly, unclog
them. Buyers consider leaky faucets and clogged drains a sign
of poor maintenance and, more often than not, they're right!
Get rid of clutter: Keep clutter off kitchen counters
and dirty dishes out of the sink. Eliminating clutter and
excess furniture makes rooms appear larger. Closet space sells
houses, so create additional space in them by weeding out
all those old clothes you never wear anymore. Like it or not,
serious buyers will inspect your closets and open built-in
drawers. Be sure they're neat and roomy.
Ironically, the clutter that reduces your house's value is
far from worthless. On the contrary, your junk is someone
else's treasure. Make a donation to your favorite charity
and earn a tax deduction (be sure to ask for a donation receipt).
Have a garage sale. Who knows? You may make enough from a
garage sale to pay for your move!
Make cosmetic improvements: Painting isn't expensive
if you do it yourself, but be careful when selecting interior
colors. Avoid cherry red, canary yellow, cobalt blue, emerald
green and other bold colors with strong visual impact. You
may love the effect, but you aren't the buyer. Just because
we recommend using neutral colors doesn't mean that you should
turn your home into a bland boring blob of mush. Give it some
spice by using area rugs, table cloths, napkins, sofa cushions,
window curtains or drapes, bedspreads and quilts, bath and
hand towels, shower curtains and so on - to create temporary
color accents in rooms. Unlike the more permanent improvements,
you can take these items with you for use in your next home.
Selling your house will be time consuming and could cost
some money. However, the value gained through utilizing these
key points could be the difference between your dream home
and simply your next home. Stick to these and improvements
and you'll be sure to get top-dollar for your house.
This week's tip is an excerpt from "House Selling
For Dummies" by Ray Brown.
Apprvd.BBDPB
Handling Presale Preparation
- Part I - April 1, 2005
This is Part One of a two part series about preparing
your home for sale.
Getting your house ready to put on the market takes time.
Exposing your property to the market before it looks its best
gives buyers and agents who tour the house a bad initial impression.
It's nearly impossible to get them back for a second look
after you correct the showing flaws. After you read prepare
your property for marketing.
Most buyers make snap judgments about your house. Their first
impressions, good or bad, are generally lasting impressions.
Buyers begin forming their opinion of your house long before
they go inside. Curb appeal, the external attractiveness
of your property when viewed from the street, is critically
important.
No matter how magnificent your house is on the inside, many
buyers will drive by your house without stopping if the property
lacks curb appeal. Your house's exterior and landscaping will
either attract buyers or repulse them. Here are some tried-and-true
ways to enhance your house's curb appeal:
Painting: Painting your house's exterior before you
put it on the market gives the biggest bang for your fix-up
buck - if you use colors that conform to your neighborhood's
decorating norm.
Lawn: A freshly mowed, neatly trimmed lawn gives your
house a well maintained appearance.
Sidewalks: Sweep your sidewalks daily.
Shrubbery: Remove or replace any dead or dying trees,
hedges, or shrubs and prune anything that looks scraggly or
overgrown.
Flowers: Filling flower beds with seasonal flowers
is an inexpensive way to add color and charm to property.
Repairs: Be sure that all gutters and down-spouts
are in place and clean. Replace missing roof shingles and
broken or cracked windows. Repair cracks in your driveway
and remove large oil stains. Replace repair broken stairs,
torn window screens, broken or missing fence slats, and defective
doorknobs. Make sure that your front and back doors, garage
doors, and all windows open easily. Check exterior lights
to make sure they're working properly.
Windows: Keep you windows spotless inside and out
throughout the marketing period.
Eliminate or hide Clutter: Clear everything you don't
nee out of the garage.
If just reading this list makes you tired, you're not alone.
You probably lack both the time and the desire to do all of
this prep work yourself. If you can afford it, make your life
easier by hiring competent folks to help you with these chores.
Your real estate agent, if you're working with one, can probably
refer you to people who specialize in this kind of work.
This week's tip is an excerpt from "House Selling
For Dummies" by Ray Brown.
Apprvd.BBDPB
And the Beat Goes On
- March 23, 2005
(Today's tip is out to you early as we are closed on Friday
in observance of Good Friday.)
Yesterday, the Federal Reserve raised its Fed Funds rate
for a seventh time in this tightening cycle. As I written
before, this is no surprise. I believe we should expect continued
increases in short interest rates during the balance of this
year. The Fed Funds rate is now 2.75%. This is still quite
low. However, it is nowhere near as low is it was a couple
years ago. That low was one percent (1%).
The reason for the continued interest rate increases is a
growing economy displaying increasing inflationary pressures.
There are several areas of activity which are putting this
inflationary pressure on the economy. They include; increased
energy prices and, upward product and services pricing pressure.
The Federal Reserve wants to keep them under control.
The funny thing is that we are also seeing continued growth
in corporate profits which is generally a good thing for common
stocks.
It seems the financial markets don't know which way to go
right now. We've had a modest adjustment in prices in the
financial markets. This adjustment of approximately five percent
(5%) may leave a nice buying opportunity. I've always said
to long term investors, when the market drops five percent;
add some money to your accounts. When it drops another five
percent, add some more. (Long term investors can be people
close to retirement who may draw on their accounts soon but
keep them invested for years to come.)
Relatively Hidden Tax
Bracket Not Only for the Wealthy - March 18, 2005
There's a funny little tax called the "Alternative Minimum
Tax" (or AMT) which exists in parallel to the US taxation
system at both the state and federal level. Although it has
traditionally been applied to the wealthy, it is a secondary
way of calculating the taxes you owe.
What happens is that your income taxes are calculated the
regular way and then are recalculated based upon AMT and,
if the AMT calculation comes up showing that you owe more
taxes, it's that calculation which you end up paying as your
annual contribution to both the State of California and the
U.S. Government's coffers.
Two of the items that trigger the AMT are capital gains and
certain types of municipal bond income. More people are paying
AMT today because the income brackets used to calculate it
have not been adjusted based upon inflation; therefore, as
a person's incomes rises, so does the AMT tax revenue gained
by the government. With more people today selling assets with
capital gains, they are becoming more subject to the AMT.
The lesson here is to do your tax planning for 2005 early
- don't wait until this time next year. When you get your
2004 return, think about your 2005 return and start anticipating
how AMT might affect you. Ask your tax preparer now about
the Alternative Minimum Tax - and how to avoid it.
The Cost to Build or
Remodel Keeps Rising - March 11, 2005
I ran a Tip of the Week about a year ago addressing homeowner's
insurance and the need to review your coverage with the cost
of building continuing to rise. Well, nothing has changed
in this respect. The costs to build, remodel, or repair keeps
going up. Therefore, I feel it is important to revisit last
year's tip. Read the following and you'll know what I mean.
I'm meeting with my property and casualty insurance agent
today to review and discuss my current coverage. The reason
for the meeting is primarily because the cost to build, or
rebuild, a home today is so much higher than it was when I
first moved here in 1977.
Back in 1977, the cost to build an average quality home
was usually around $60 per square-foot, and the cost to build
a custom home was around $100 per square-foot; today, you
might spend more than $100 per square-foot to build an average
quality home, while custom homes can run upwards of $200 to
$250 per square-foot.
Many homeowners' property casualty insurance coverage
has not been changed in years, which may leave them without
enough coverage to pay any claim needed to rebuild part or
all of their home or investment property.
A 2,000 square-foot custom home might cost $500,000 just
to rebuild; the same home, using average construction, might
cost $200,000 to rebuild. If your coverage is not adequate
to meet these potential costs, the fees might end up coming
out of your pocket.
I suggest that you call you me or your property casualty
insurance agent today to set up an appointment to review your
insurance coverage. It could be the most valuable sixty minutes
you've spent in a while.
Economic & Market
Update - March 5, 2005
As I awoke to today's economic news, the financial markets
were reacting well to a better than expected employment report.
There were over 262,000 new non-farm related jobs created
in the economy during February 2005.
In addition to the better than expected employment gain,
the economy displayed continuing low inflation. This is generally
a good combination for the financial markets - particularly
common stocks.
Certainly, there can be no guarantees when it comes to the
economy and investing. That would be the wrong approach to
take when considering how to invest. It can easily lead to
unrealistic investor expectations.
However, we should be able to look at today's trends as being
consistent with those many of the investment people I've interviewed
over the past couple years. Their take on things is that we
are in a low inflation, moderate growth rate economic environment.
Some say we are in a period that is similar to that of the
early 1960s. That kind of environment was good for the financial
markets then. Let's hope they continue to be right.
Have A Valuable Watch
or Piece of Jewelry? - February 25, 2005
Do you have any expensive jewelry in the house? Many people
have all kinds of jewelry in their home that came into their
possession as a gift, a purchase or an inheritance. The value
of a piece of jewelry may surprise you. Does your insurance
policy cover your jewelry collection or gold watch?
You may be surprised at the limitations of your homeowner's
policy when it comes to the coverage of your jewelry and watches.
Many insurance policies have very low coverage levels on the
jewelry you may own. It's oftentimes very important to review
this portion of your policy if you have a piece of jewelry
or a watch that exceeds even $1,000 in value. There can also
be limits on the total amount of jewelry a policy will cover
for a given household.
The best solutions to this are pretty simple:
1. Call your agent to ask the coverage and limitations on
your policy. (Make sure you understand this so there are no
surprises, should you have a fire or burglary).
2. You may need to purchase a special rider for the jewelry
or watch(es) that you own which will insure these valuable
items properly.
3. Once you do this, you'll want to make sure the coverage
is adequate, as some of these pieces could increase in value
over the years; if so, you will periodically need to increase
your coverage amounts.
Though these insurance issues are some of the most basic,
many people overlook the risks they may take as a result of
this oversight. I strongly suggest you give this consideration.
The Cost of Healthcare
- February 18, 2005
The problem lies not in the science but in the cost.
Who wrote that famous quote? I did.
All kidding aside, the problems we are going to face with
Social Security will pale compared to those that we will face
trying to fund Medicare when the Baby Boomers begin retiring
in 2011. Thats when the first of the Boomers (born in
1946) will turn 65, the age where many Americans today begin
collecting Social Security and Medicare benefits from Uncle
Sam.
My suggestion to all of you is to be prepared to pay for
your own retirement. Be prepared to potentially not get as
much benefit from both Social Security and Medicare. If you
take this stance, you are likely to come out ahead. (I am
personally viewing the deposits I make to these entitlement
programs as an additional tax).
I hope I am wrong, but it seems to me that the writing is
on the wall: our country will be paying benefits to the Baby
Boomers until roughly 2055. Thats a lot of years to
go.
One way you can take care of yourself is to contribute
the maximum amount available to your retirement plan every
year. As of today, you can contribute to your
IRAs for both 2004 and 2005. I strongly suggest you do just
that, if you haven't done so yet.
Do Mutual Funds Have
Hidden Costs? - February 4, 2005
Years ago, I interviewed a woman on my radio show who was
a writer for the Morningstar Mutual Fund ratings service.
She made a comment to me that I found very interesting: she
said that the costs to buy and sell stocks and bonds inside
a mutual fund were not a part of the mutual
fund's annual operating expenses. (I suggest you review
my Weekly Tip from October 29, 2004, for a more complete discussion
on annual operating expenses.)
This means that every mutual fund in existence has higher
annual operating expenses than shown in their prospectuses
and annual reports because they are not required to count
trading costs among their expenses.
How can you tell how much these extra expenses total? That's
a very good question. For large mutual funds, it's likely
a $1million question. One clue I look to when evaluating a
mutual fund is the annual turnover ratio. The
higher the annual turnover ratio of a mutual fund the higher
the costs for the shareholders to trade the stocks and bonds
within the fund. (I suggest you review my Weekly Tip from
March 4, 2004, for a more complete discussion on annual turnover
ratios.)
You all know that my favorite mutual fund group is the American
Funds. Two of the reasons for my using them so much are their
very low annual operating expenses and their equally low annual
turnover ratios. When you have lower fees and the turnover
within the funds are low, you end up with savings in trading
costs, as well as lower short-term capital gains taxes.
There are funds with turnover ratios of 80% to as high
as 700% in a single year. These are the kinds
of numbers that generate higher trading costs to shareholders,
as well as higher short-term capital gains taxes; in my opinion,
they are also more speculative in nature. I suggest you review
the turnover ratios in the mutual funds you're considering
investing your hard-earned money in before you send in your
checks.
Certificates of Depreciation
- January 21, 2005
A "Certificate of Depreciation" is generally viewed
as industry jargon; in the real world, it is called a "Certificate
of Deposit" (or a CD).
You might ask if I am just making fun of this inanimate investment
vehicle; well, I am in one sense, but in another sense of
the words, I am not.
A CD is a valid vehicle for your money - your short-term
money. Another valid use for CDs are for people who are too
uncomfortable with their money being invested in longer term
vehicles with more risk, even moderately more risk.
I define "short-term money" as funds that might
be used within the next couple of years.
When I call a CD a "Certificate of Depreciation,"
I am saying that it has a pretty fair chance of depreciating
in value due to the effects of taxes and inflation. Here's
what I mean:
1. Many CDs end up paying interest that is taxable to the
account owner. Generally, if you pay taxes on CD interest,
you end up with an after-tax return that is lower than
inflation; therefore, your account is not keeping up with
inflation through earnings.
2. CDs are guaranteed to return your principal through the
bank's backing and the FDIC. (As many of you know, the FDIC
limits its guarantee to $100,000 per account.) You are not
guaranteed any increase in the value of the account;
you only get back what you put in, plus interest. Inflation
has been a constant for decades in our country; I don't see
it going away anytime soon.
If you take these two points, you have a savings vehicle
that only returns your principal - which depreciates over
time through inflation's effect upon it - and pays interest
that generally yields less than the inflation rate after taxes.
This is why I call CDs "Certificates of Depreciation."
Getting Your Home Out
of Your Estate While Still Living In It -
January 14, 2005
Want to get your home out of your estate while still living
in it? There's a tool called a Qualified Personal Residence
Trust (QPRT). If done properly, it's designed to do exactly
that.
QPRT's are not for everyone. They are generally for people
who have taxable estates. In other words, they will end up
paying estate taxes upon their death. You will need an attorney
to set it up. It is not a simple or uncomplicated trust. (As
they say about sky diving, don't do this without the help
of a professional.)
The QPRT allows a person to live in their home for a specified
period of time. Once they pass that specified period, they
will generally have to either move out of the home or rent
the home from the beneficiaries of the trust (more often than
not, the beneficiaries are the children of the person who
owned the home). At the point that the specified period of
time elapses, the estate is no longer in possession of the
home.
By renting the home back from your children, you are also
passing along assets of the estate to your children without
estate taxation; however, the income will be considered taxable
in the current year.
Putting a QPRT together requires a good estate planning attorney,
accountant, and lots of thought. You should not do it unless
you have looked at all the advantages and disadvantages.
Keep in mind that this Tip of the Week is only a very simplified
outline of how QPRTs work. For a more complete picture, you
should consult the appropriate professionals. I would be happy
to give you more details.
New Year's Resolutions
2005 - January 7, 2005
In keeping with the tradition of making New Year's Resolutions,
I would propose a resolution to review your financial well-being.
Here's a shopping list of things to consider reviewing:
· Have you had your estate plan updated or
reviewed in the past five years or so. Perhaps 2005 is the
year to do it. The estate tax laws continue to change. You
want to make sure your desires after you're gone are properly
handled and that you benefit as much as possible from the
current estate tax laws. The only way to do so is with an
up to date estate plan. Further, after two years of positive
returns in the financial markets and a continued strong real
estate, your estate may be worth more than you think. It's
worth it to make sure your estate plan considered your increased
net worth.
· When is the last time you had an accounting of how
you spend your money? For most people, control of their cash
flow is a primary key to financial success.
· It's time to take a look at your portfolio to see
where you stand. I suggest maintaining that long term perspective
while doing so. If you haven't been in to see me in more than
a year, maybe we should have a review appointment.
During 2004, I made more adjustments to clients' portfolio
than I have in years. We've all gotten older, this is a good
time to get together and potentially readjust your portfolio.
· Have you done a review of all your insurance
policies to make sure they still serve you they way they
were originally written? Perhaps you need more coverage in
some areas and less in others?
· Now is the time to do tax planning. I say
it over and over again; however, tax planning is a year-round
issue, not just an April 15th issue.
· It's time to review your debts. If they are
not paid in full, each one should be reviewed to determine
if it's being handled in the best possible way.
· Lastly, it's time to make some short, intermediate,
and long-term financial goals that can be worked on during
2005.
Ultimately, it's up to you to be responsible for your financial
security. I am here to help and do all that I can; however,
the more involved you are in the process, and working towards
your financial goals on a consistent basis, the better the
results can be. We all need a good financial team to be successful,
and I believe that you are a part of it.
Happy New Year! I look forward to seeing you all in 2005.